Update. @my_helix launched a dashboard with our results re virus surveillance
So far, you can check trends in by states for:
- % of SGTF by positives
- Ns & % of B117

Link:
Tableau public.tableau.com/profile/helix6…

Helix web helix.com/pages/helix-co…

🧵 with results for CA, FL, MA...
2/
Methods:
ALL numbers are based on positives with Ct<27.

In real life, we return positive results for Ct≥27, but we only sequence (with @illumina) samples with more virus (Ct<27) to optimize seq success.

Still Ns analyzed are large. A couple thousands positives per day
3/
So far, our effort was focused on B117, which is established to be more contagious.

B117 causes SGTF (S gene target failure) in PCR test. But it is not the only variant to do so.

So 2 metrics are useful to track

- (n SGTF / n positives)
- (n B117 / n SGTF sequenced)
4/
Overall in the US, we saw this (in the last ~4 weeks).
- only states with some SGTF sequenced are represented here.
- B117 identified in 8 states

Now trends in CA, FL, MA and PA
5/ CA
- % of positive samples that are SGTF increasing over time. Now, 7-day moving average: ~1%
- % of SGTF sequenced that are B117 has always been high. Now, ~0.9

rough estimate is that now: 1% x 0.91 ~0.9% of positives in CA are B117
6/ FL
- % of positive samples that are SGTF increasing. Big increase in last couple of days. Now, 7-day moving average: ~3%
- % of SGTF sequenced that are B117 ~ 30%.

There is a lag for seq results so it will be important to see what latest sequences will be (mostly B117?)
7/ MA

We saw our first case of B117 in MA. Reported here: boston.com/news/coronavir…

But trend is similar to previous.
High % of positives are SGTF (has been stable at around 3% for 2 months).
But only 1 SGTF sequenced has been B117.
8/ PA
% of positives that are SGTF has been around 0.5% for a while. But maybe (!) early signs that it is going up.
Recently sequenced 2 B117 in the state
9/
Hope many people can play with the data. Sequences also available on GISAID. To find them, search:

Helix/Illumina"Genomics and Discovery, Respiratory Viruses Branch, Division of Viral Diseases, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention"Peter W. Cook et al
@dmaccannell
10/
As always this was a big team effort. Dashboard and data wrangling led by @simonjwhite71 & @genesareclever . + @ETCirulli @kellyschiabor & many others @my_helix .

Also @illumina @fdesouza , @CDCgov, @K_G_Andersen lab

& inspiration from @firefoxx66 @AineToole @trvrb et al

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More from @alexbolze

1 Jan
Update 🧵 on @my_helix study on the B.1.1.7 variant in the US.

Summary:
- we sequenced 31 samples with S-gene drop out in US
- 4 were B.1.1.7
- 3 from CA, 1 from FL
- Pursuing seq effort with @illumina , & work with @CDCgov

Link: blog.helix.com/sars-cov-2-uk-…
2/

Context: a new strain of SARS-CoV-2, B.1.1.7, was identified in the UK, and has been shown to be more transmissible.

-> need to track & monitor the variant in the US

See this thread for our initial work re B.1.1.7
3/
Reminder:
- H69del/V70del variant present in B.1.1.7 likely leads to S gene drop out in RT-PCR assay.
- H69del/V70del is NOT unique to B.1.1.7. Frequent in other clusters (see pic. all of the green is NOT B1.1.7)

Need to sequence to know if S gene drop outs are B.1.1.7. https://nextstrain.org/groups/neherlab/ncov/S.H69-?c=gt-S_50
Read 13 tweets
24 Dec 20
A thread on S gene drop out patterns in SARS-CoV-2 tests done at @my_helix .

Summary:
- we observe S gene drop out since mid October in US. Up to 0.5% last week.
- more sequencing of the virus is needed in the US.

blog.helix.com/sars-cov2_uk-v…
2/
A new variant of SARS-CoV-2 named B.1.1.7 has been reported in the UK beginning of December, and is likely more transmissible.

Follow these experts: @firefoxx66 @jcbarret @richardneher to know the latest about the variant.

Also @CDCgov summary: cdc.gov/coronavirus/20…
3/
One key point is that the B.1.1.7 variant has not been identified in the US so far.

But the US is doing very little sequencing of the virus compared to the UK for example. So really, we need more information.
Read 14 tweets

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