Some people seem to think that when I say COVID has peaked in FL, that means I'm saying it's "done" or "over." Or that COVID is gone.
Obvious, "peaked" means "maximum," which is the opposite of "done." But it also means it is no longer increasing.
1/6
Obvious, "peaked" means "maximum," which is the opposite of "done." But it also means it is no longer increasing.
1/6
Everywhere, COVID has come in waves. Once CLI and hospitalizations start falling, deaths follow (with lags for disease progression and reporting).
Hospitalizations in FL started falling on January 14.
2/6
Hospitalizations in FL started falling on January 14.
2/6
This does not mean COVID has disappeared or that there is no risk. What it means is that we're heading into a low-prevalence period (not there yet), just as vaccinations are ramping up. This is great news!
3/6
3/6
Politicians who will say we need to "do something" as death reports increase need to understand that nothing we do now will change anything (not that it ever did). There is no risk of "exponential growth" or growth at all. This wave is receding.
4/6
4/6
As cases and hospitalizations decrease, headlines will shift to death reports. So remember that these are lagging indicators that tell us nothing about the current situation. Ignore the headlines and explain this to everyone you meet who mentions COVID being "out of control"
5/6
5/6
Bookmark the CLI page and show it to everyone. Use the filter to select your region. THIS is the #1 indicator of what's going on.
Purple dots = percentage of emergency room visits for COVID-like illness
6/6
covid.cdc.gov/covid-data-tra…
Purple dots = percentage of emergency room visits for COVID-like illness
6/6
covid.cdc.gov/covid-data-tra…
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