In a parallel world, the Virus Policy Commitee of the Centre for Economics and Epidemiology has just voted options for vaccine prioritization and trajectories for lockdown release.
The voting helped focus Government and 'Covid Recovery Group' minds on the consequences of early relaxations, given stark forecasts for the number that would die or be left long term disabled by covid under each of the options.
Although the government was left to choose its own vaccination and lockdown policy, and the VPC's votes were advisory only, the death numbers printed in black and white made it hard for the government to choose the high numbers of deaths.
After months of these votes and regular forecasts and simulations, the arguments that avoiding suppression would benefit the economy had begun to fade, deflected into the territory of unsuccessful, inexpert critiques of the models and assumptions.
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