1/ If you’ve been listening to @HiddenForcesPod over the last few months, you will know that I’ve been wrestling with many emotions as we’ve moved through the 2020 election, past the inauguration and towards the start of a new presidential administration. bit.ly/HF_176
2/ I’ve felt some combination of anxiety, nervousness, distress and sometimes even, anger.

I think these result from the threat I feel emanating from our broken society, as evidenced by not only the assault on the Capitol but by the larger forces that have led us to this moment.
3/ Rather than make an effort to bring our country together, our partisan media and talking heads on cable news outlets find every opportunity to tear it apart.

Likewise, our regulators continue to turn a blind eye to the systemic build-up of risk happening in financial markets.
4/ The celebrated rise of Bitcoin is a symptom of these broken markets.

People have such little faith in government that they'd prefer to hold their money in a database with the carbon footprint of a small nation than in government bonds or in their FDIC insured bank accounts.
5/ And this illuminates a larger observation, which has to do with the generational divide that we are experiencing—a divide which cuts much deeper than any political fissure currently tearing the country apart.

Once again, we can turn to Bitcoin for answers.
6/ In my conversation w/@ttmygh & @EpsilonTheory, I made the case that Bitcoin's popularity is about more than just money.

Granted, the promise of riches is integral, but the sense of belonging and purpose that its mission inspires is arguable paramount. bit.ly/HF_172
7/ “Man shall not live by bread alone, but by every word that proceeds from the mouth of God.” Matthew 4:4

Not only do people need more than physical sustenance to feed their souls, they also crave belonging and something to look up to that is greater than themselves.
8/ If religion does not give them that sense of belonging and purpose they will seek it out and find it in the most peculiar places.

"It's been said that when human beings stop believing in God they believe in nothing. The truth is much worse: they believe in anything." - M.M.
9/ And is it any wonder then that my generation has found its God in a faceless computer database with the carbon footprint of a small nation, and which promises riches and a seat on a dwindling set of lifeboats destined for Elysium or the metaverse?

10/ Millennials and Zoomers feel totally and completely betrayed by their parents’ generation whose lives and peak income generating years coincided with the greatest period of financial excess in American history.
11/ And whose 401K’s and retirement accounts are being goosed by a Federal Reserve that is utterly determined to prevent even a modest decline in the value of assets they’ve spent a lifetime accumulating by offloading the costs of their interventions onto the next generation.
12/ This short-sighted betrayal has turned the most vital segment of society into a voting block of speculators who have absolutely no trust in government and who seek to exit a system that depends on their very participation in order to function.
13/ It’s no coincidence therefore that Millennials treat the stock market like a casino and see cryptocurrencies as their ticket to financial freedom.

Investing in Bitcoin isn’t seen by my generation as a speculation. For many, it is seen as the ticket on a train to salvation.
14/ And this brings me to my larger point of concern, which is that our illusions about escaping into the metaverse, our internal divisions and our inability to trust our government are putting our nation’s security & the security of our economy and our political system at risk.
15/ The recent storming of the Capitol building was a direct assault on our most basic government institutions.

And the recent inauguration-day attack on Democratic Party offices in Portland by left-wing agitators is evidence that this is not only a right-wing phenomenon.
16/ The country is radicalizing and these groups have become the ideal breeding ground for political terrorism and by extension a playground for foreign interference.

The more time we spend demonizing the opposition and deplatforming them, the more we push them underground.
17/ The more time we spend attacking one another and our government, the more vulnerable we become and the less attention we devote to trying to fix the problem.

And that problem is not one that we can address as individuals.
18/ Sure, those of us with money and access to capital can and certainly should try and make the best investment decisions for ourselves and for our families, but those attempts do not scale very well.
19/ They don’t do anything to advance our national security or to alleviate the discontent that's causing people to congregate into underground political movements or pile into speculative assets depriving the real economy of badly needed investment.
20/ I’ve spent most of my life criticizing the government, first for its military adventurism and later for its financial corruption.

I eventually bought into the idea after 2008 that government couldn’t do a single thing right, and that the less we had of it the better.
21/ I’ve spent the last four years learning why this was not only an overly simplistic interpretation of the causes of my government’s failures, but also a dangerous resignation of my own responsibility to my country for its prosperity and survival.
22/ Going forward, you are gonna hear more episodes from me dealing with these issues, head-on, and this will mean not only taking stronger positions on issues, but also not aligning myself, conveniently, with one ideology or another.
23/ Going forward I'll be relying on the depth & breadth of research & analysis I've done on the @HiddenForcesPod to begin to put together the pieces of a story that hasn’t been properly told and which carries enormous significance for our lives and for the future of our country.
24/ We have entered what I believe will prove to be the most consequential decade of my lifetime, and I’m simply not interested in sitting this one out.

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh
 

Keep Current with Demetri Kofinas

Demetri Kofinas Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

PDF

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @kofinas

21 Jan
1/ In other words, there we were confronted not with a whole series of crises and problems, but with one crisis, amounting to a death wish – an urge to self-destruction – seeping into every aspect of our way of life.
2/ A touch of irony is added by virtue of the fact that this Gadarene course is associated with ostensibly optimistic views whereupon the State may be expected to whither away and mankind to live happily ever after.
3/ [...] Searching about in their minds for some explanation of this pursuit of happiness that became a death wish, the archaeologists ... would be bound to hit upon the doctrine of “Progress”: probably the most deleterious fancy to ever take possession of the human heart."
Read 4 tweets
8 Jan
1/ I cannot put into words the heartbreak I feel when I look at what’s unfolding in our country.

We're approaching a precipice. If we don’t find a way to reach some sort of working consensus the situation is only going to become more intractable and quite frankly more dangerous.
2/ The behavior of risk assets in the face of all this uncertainty is perhaps the most alarming data point in a sea of bad news.

There simply is no discernible relationship between value metrics and price. The signaling mechanism sending information between the two is broken.
3/ The French philosopher Jean Baudrillard would have described what we are living through today as "hyperreality," a condition in which what is real and what is fiction or narrative are so entangled that there is no clear distinction between where one ends and the other begins.
Read 9 tweets
3 Oct 20
1/ There is an odd defect in the human mind that allows people living under an enormous dam to suffer little anxiety as the reservoir behind it gradually fills to the brim and the concrete walls crack from the mounting force.
2/ In such circumstances, most people will go about their daily business. The specter of sudden catastrophe will remain unthinkable to them, if only because it has not yet happened―as if the ravages of time were positive evidence, instead of something to worry about.
3/ In the aftermath, the same defect will cause survivors of disaster to blame it all on the trigger event, the unforeseen engineering flaw or earthquake or storm that finally burst the dam and brought the water crushing down.
Read 4 tweets
27 Sep 20
1/ We are entering a period in world history where long-standing territorial disputes—so-called “frozen conflicts” mediated for years by the credible force of American intervention—are igniting in violence.
2/ The chaos in Nagorno-Karabakh could easily get out of control and spread beyond the borders of Armenia and Azerbaijan, becoming yet another proxy war that ropes in Turkey, Russia, and possibly Iran.

3/ There are many such flashpoints around the world. The Taiwan Strait is another. Any breakout in violence there could quickly rope in the United States and its Asian partners into a full-blown military conflict with China.

nationalinterest.org/blog/buzz/chin…
Read 7 tweets
26 Aug 20
1/ "At the so-called grassroots of American politics there is a wide and pervasive tendency to believe that there is some great but essentially very simple struggle going on, at the heart of which there lies some single conspiratorial force, whether it be the force represented...
2/ ...by the “gold bugs,” the Catholic Church, big business, corrupt politicians, the saloons, or the Communist Party, and that this evil is something that must be not merely limited, checked, and controlled, but rather extirpated root and branch at the earliest possible moment.
3/ All too often the assumption prevails among our politicians and intellectual leaders that the judgment of the people about such things must of necessity be right and ... to pretend that these demands are altogether sensible and to try to find ways to placate them.
Read 6 tweets
17 Aug 20
1/ In this @HiddenForcesPod, @M_Heffernan and I explore our unhealthy relationship with uncertainty by tackling some of the misconceptions we hold about predictability & the dangers associated with trying to extrapolate from the past an unknowable future.
2/ History, after all, is an incomplete data set; we know this because the future is full of things that have never been here before.

New technologies, new drugs, new genes, new people, & new horizons that were previously unimaginable.

3/ And yet, whether it’s the on-air financial host pumping & dumping stocks to his viewers or the policymaker forecasting unemployment figures & growth rates, false prophets abound.

By speaking in certainties, they exploit our fears, providing answers where only doubt can exist.
Read 4 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!


This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Too expensive? Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal Become our Patreon

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us on Twitter!