OK so: what is a gamma squeeze?

Suppose gamestop GME is trading at $20. You buy a bunch of call options with strike $30 from your market maker (MM)

You have a long call position on GME, so you profit if GME goes up
MM has a short call position, so MM loses money if GME goes up
MM, however, doesn't actually want to take bets on GME. MM's trick is that MM takes a position in the underlying stock which hedges the call option. MM thus buys a bunch of GME stock. If GME goes up, MM loses money on her option position, but gains on her stock position
Any security based on GME is, in a very short span of time, simply a bet on whether GME will go up or down. Hence, you can hedge any security just by taking a position in GME. This is called "delta hedging"

(there is some subtlety here which I'll gloss over for now)
The interesting thing about MM's position, however, is that its sensitivity to GME depends on the price of GME.

If GME is at $10, the option is probably worthless. It is worth 0 regardless of whether GME goes to $11 or $9. So MM doesn't need to hold much GME.
If GME is at $40 (call strike is $30), option is basically worth $40 - $30 = $10. If GME goes to $41, MM loses a dollar, $39, MM makes a dollar. So MM's option position is very sensitive to GME, and MM has to buy a whole share of stock to hedge
Option positions have nonlinear - convex - exposure to underlying. MM is more exposed when GME price is higher. To hedge, MM has to buy more GME stock if the price goes up to $40 Image
The result, however, is that the MM has to buy more stock when GME price starts going up. Trades move markets! If MM is buying GME stock when it's moving up, it drives GME further upwards, and so on
Another more abstract way to understand this is the idea of "dynamic replication". Any option is essentially equivalent to trading the underlying stock in a certain way: an option can be thought of as a static position which replicates a dynamic trading strategy
The market maker can (in an ideal frictionless world) be thought of as a machine who translates your static option position into the dynamic trading strat in the underlying stock
A call option is expressing a dynamic strat which basically says "I will buy more exposure if the stock price goes up". The MM takes your static option and literally translates this into the dynamic trading strat in the GME stock
If there are a bunch of ppl who decide they want to buy when prices go up, this could will tend to push prices further up (and symmetrically for downswings), exacerbating "momentum"
Meaning upswings tend to be followed by upswings, and so on. So there's a hypothesis floating around that long option positions increase momentum, I retweeted a paper about this a while back
I've skipped over a bunch of stuff about vol, "model risk", etc. mostly since it's complicated and not super important for the current story imo, but the story is a bit more complicated than this
tl;dr: when there's lots of call option buying, this forces market makers to buy when prices go up and sell when prices go down, which can tend to create momentum (though the size of this effect overall, to my understanding, is still a subject of debate in the academic lit)

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh
 

Keep Current with Anthony Lee Zhang

Anthony Lee Zhang Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

PDF

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @AnthonyLeeZhang

26 Jan
I am still following r/wsb relatively closely, as this is a pretty incredible cultural phenomenon. WSB seems to view itself not only as a money machine, but also as a kind of righteous rebellion against the corrupt finance establishment (31.7k likes is huge) Image
All manner of guesswork/conspiracy about institutional collusion starting to get posted. The brokers are in on it, etc., not just the obvious explanation of jacking up margins in response to increased vol (I believe this is more likely?) Image
See for example this ongoing 3-part essay: quality of the narrative is really something

reddit.com/r/wallstreetbe…
Read 18 tweets
18 Jan
While I don't completely agree with the sentiment, I think the median person - even perhaps the median econ grad student - would be more impactful, richer, and happier in industry than in academia
Nontrivial fraction of students never work a full-time job before grad school. Ofc not everyone has the luxury to do so, especially with grad admissions becoming more and more competitive, but I did and found it really useful for discovering my preferences
Knowing really what the industry option looks like helps a lot in keeping sane during grad school, and just helps you think clearly about your personal tradeoffs
Read 12 tweets
12 Jan
I often say to grad students: a reasonable thing to aim for in grad school is ~2-3 essentially complete and posted papers, alongside your JMP. This often looks like your JMP, plus your 2nd-yr paper, a paper from RA'ing for a faculty, or from working with classmates
Of course, some people get top jobs with only one very, very good paper. This is very risky though - you don't know ex-ante whether your paper will be very good! Most schools care about productivity, so having a couple of completed papers helps
Even if the papers are not change-the-world papers. Also, it exercises your paper-writing muscle. Not everyone comes into grad school ready to write ECMA's!
Read 24 tweets
13 Dec 20
Largely agree with Ben's points here, some other thoughts...

In physics, mathematical models are either basically correct or not. Newton's laws either hold in all cases or are a wrong (or at least, incomplete and approximate) view of the world
We're taught modern physics through famous experiments that show "edge cases" (double slit experiment, gravity bending light, etc.) which falsify classical physics
The implicit philosophy of science here is that any evidence demonstrating a case where theory doesn't hold implies

- The old theory is wrong
- A new/broader theory is needed
Read 11 tweets
12 Mar 20
@lukestein @ben_golub @bennpeifert Agree essentially on all points, I'm just saying you shouldn't expect to make money if you sell the near-term options underlying the VIX. The market basically seems to expect a lot of vol in a short time frame
@lukestein @ben_golub @bennpeifert Also VIX squared forecasts variance for any jump-free process, it doesn't rely on Black-Scholes assumptions (it used to, but they switched to the model-free formula summing across strikes at some point)
@lukestein @ben_golub @bennpeifert from the white paper cboe.com/micro/vix/vixw…

And Demeterfi, Derman, Kamal, and Zou (1999)
Read 8 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!


This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Too expensive? Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal Become our Patreon

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us on Twitter!