Hugo Gye Profile picture
27 Jan, 4 tweets, 2 min read
Full story now @theipaper: Covid lockdown will remain until at least 8 March, with schools staying closed after half-term inews.co.uk/news/politics/…
UK's scientific advisers will examine the relevant data in weeks beginning 15th Feb, and submit their findings to ministers.

The next week, govt will publish a road map for the 'unlockdown'.

8th March the earliest date for any changes to current rules.
inews.co.uk/news/politics/…
Lifting of lockdown could look quite different to last spring/summer - No10 sources say we have learned a lot about effective measures, and new variants bring different challenges.

Likely to return to a tiered system, but not identical to pre-lockdown.
inews.co.uk/news/politics/…
How opening of schools & everything else will work, by @whazell and me:

Israel data is key - first indication of impact mass vaccination has on covid spread

Schools look likely to reopen in phases, perhaps divided by year groups

Full story @theipaper: inews.co.uk/news/politics/…

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More from @HugoGye

29 Jan
344,464 additional vaccine doses registered in 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 yesterday (343,193 1st doses, 1,271 2nd doses)

54,262 in 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿 (NB this is two days' worth due to IT issue yesterday)
26,225 in 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁷󠁬󠁳󠁿
For England, this is a slight fall on the figure reported last Friday. The UK number will be higher than last Friday's but that's artificial thanks to the Scotland overcount.
The number of people who've had at least one dose of a Covid-19 vaccine in 🇬🇧 as of yesterday is

*7,891,184*

(up 443,985 on the day before, 7-day average 358,297)
That is 11.8% of the total population
Read 5 tweets
29 Jan
Vaccines hero Kate Bingham on her reaction to the Novavax success: "When I heard the news last night, I'm afraid I broke the Dry January rule and celebrated with a glass of wine." #r4today
How did UK secure vaccine supplies? Bingham: "We were clearly at a disadvantage in terms of size and buying power so the way we chose to address that was by being nimble, and as co-operative and supportive as we possibly could be."
Asked about prospect of EU export ban on vaccines, Bingham says: "I just don't believe it will ever come to that, we've worked very co-operatively with the European Union." Points eg to Valneva - French company now making vaccines in Scotland.
Read 4 tweets
28 Jan
252,992 additional vaccine doses registered in 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 yesterday (251,902 1st doses, 1,090 2nd doses)

23,801 in 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁷󠁬󠁳󠁿

(no data from 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿 today due to 'IT issue')
The England figure is a small dip on yesterday, and down around 20% week on week.

Ministers & govt scientists have always said there would be fluctuations, which is fair enough, but frustratingly have refused to explain exactly why these changes are happening.
Some possible explanations for apparent slowdown:
general supply restrictions
focus on vaccinating hardest-to-reach over-80s
focus on reaching all care home residents by end of this week
diversion of supply to underperforming areas

Any, all or none could be at play!
Read 6 tweets
27 Jan
260,307 additional vaccine doses registered in 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 yesterday (259,306 1st doses, 1,001 2nd doses)

24,728 in 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿
22,697 in 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁷󠁬󠁳󠁿
This is pretty disappointing. It's the first time we've seen a week-on-week fall in the England figures - a week ago the number was 301,362.
No10 responds - PM's spokesman: "We always said that there would be variations in the number of vaccinations that are provided day to day, we've said that supply remains the issue in terms of getting more vaccinations out to people as quickly as we can...
Read 4 tweets
10 Jan
Covid-19 hospital patients are less and less likely to end up in an intensive care unit since the start of the virus' 2nd wave.

The fall is particularly sharp among older patients, and in London.

My analysis of PHE data in @theipaper:
inews.co.uk/news/analysis/…
As this graph shows, among all age groups the number of ICU admissions as a proportion of all hospital admissions has been steadily falling since week 40 (ie start of Oct).

Figures for 65-74 and 75-84 groups seem to have experienced the steepest decline.
inews.co.uk/news/analysis/…
If you break the data down by NHS region, London stands out as reducing the proportion of patients sent to ICU more than anywhere else.
inews.co.uk/news/analysis/…
Read 10 tweets
5 Jan
NEW
Boris Johnson says 1.3m people have been vaccinated across UK, 1.1m in England.

650,000 of them are over-80 which is 23% of that cohort.
DAILY UPDATES ON VACCINATION FIGURES ARE COMING FROM MONDAY!
Read 11 tweets

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