Actually, Asians is a pretty accurate descriptor here. Not even Japan would cleave closer to the US following a US-led extension of the security umbrella over Taiwan island... much less Korea, the Philippines, Singapore, or - yes - the rest of ASEAN.
@Dalzell60 might not be qualified to comment on the feelings or aspirations of Taiwanese independence activists such as yourself, but he is more than qualified to assess the security situation from the perspective of countries in the region...
...which is a perspective most Taiwan indy activists sorely lack.

Besides Indian hardliners, there are literally no political forces or groups in Asia that are supportive of more tensions across the straits.
Not even Japan wants it because any Chinese op - successful or not - will massively complicate Japan's security environment and damage Japan's economy. Just like with the frozen conflict in Korea, Japan gets everything it needs from the status quo.

TLDR: TW indy types are naïfs.

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More from @TheDailyMao

29 Jan
1/ The Robinhood CEO's statement on why they limited the purchase of $GME and other stocks caught in the recent short squeeze is misleading. Here is proof:

#robinhoodboycott #boycottrobinhood Image
2/ Here is a screencap from a chat group of Chinese Robinhood employees. One of them notes that Robinhood is nowhere close to exceeding its OCC margin requirements, even with the elevated trading volumes and price volatility in the securities Robinhood restricted... Image
3/ One of them then notes that this fact is a 'company secret' and a third then notes that 'if the cash is sufficient [for the margin requrements] then the situation will be awkward'.
Read 7 tweets
28 Jan
Hearing that TSMC has not only been targeting EU carmakers in this 'shortage', but also stating that it will prioritize auto plants outside China for supply vs those inside China. Clear priority is to induce shutdowns in China's auto sector...
...as well as punish EU firms for signing the #CAI.

This is why you don't leave loaded guns in the hands of small children, and why China (and the EU) won't leave TSMC in the hands of Taiwan separatists.

The adults will be put back in charge, one way or another.
Indeed, thanks to Taiwan's display of economic hostility, it is now more likely that the EU (and specifically ASML) continues to supply TSMC with EUVL equipment after a Chinese op.

Well done!
Read 4 tweets
27 Jan
1/ With how US policymaking is going, I wouldn't be surprised if these were the headlines for 2032:
2/ "As part of her Woke New Deal, President AOC announced US terms for the America-Pacific Trade Treaty today"

"It will ask China to:
- Accept a $25/hr minimum wage
- Tax 50% of Chinese wages for a trade dividend to families in Florida, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, and Texas
3/ "It will also ask China to:
- Allow their people freedom of religion, including for members of the Eastern Lightning Church of Almighty Kanye
- Sell all software, ecommerce, and cloud services companies to Amazon
- Sell all digital advertising companies to FaceGoogle"
Read 7 tweets
26 Jan
One of the things I would really respect all the pro-Taiwan "agricultural historians" doing research on is how India's agriculture policy from the 60s until now has favored existing landholders at the expense of smaller farmers... scientificamerican.com/article/farm-p…
...and how Modi's proposed deregulation of agricultural markets is not about redressing the power imbalances created by these policies, but exacerbating them to the benefit of domestic food distributors and retailers/e-retailers like Reliance. Image
But no, I guess these "historians" would rather spend their time writing thinly-veiled apologia for Imperial Japan instead.

So brave, much respecc

@timeswang
Read 10 tweets
25 Jan
Adding a few other notes here: these economies are *short* volatility. If your welfare/security depends on China/US getting along enough not to fight but being far enough apart to privilege your companies in the global value chain, then your country is a glass menagerie
You need the international environment to sit in a permanent Goldilocks zone to make the whole strategy work. This is why the US/UK strategy of soft containment / D-10 is ultimately self-limiting. It shifts the environment out of the Goldilocks zone
Abstracting away from the contest of nations to the contest of ideologies, if you are someone who wants to do Marxism instead of just tweeting about it, you should figure out how to make Marxism better than liberalism at providing the intl environment for welfare/security
Read 5 tweets
25 Jan
1/ Germany's challenge is that its financial solvency and physical security are underwritten by Fed swaps and the DoD, its leading industrial/consumer firms depend on Chinese demand for growth, and its energy inputs rely on Russia and the GCC
2/ This means its foreign policy will forever strive for balance plus a mild pro-America tilt - within an international environment that is *low tension*. Humanitarian values come after all this.
3/ This is what ideologues like IPAC don't understand - their emphasis on 1) polarizing the international environment and 2) making the EU take sides in that environment is antithetical to Germany's entire national strategy. In a sense, they are *anti-German*
Read 6 tweets

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