Yishan Profile picture
28 Jan, 6 tweets, 2 min read
Here’s how it works: any controversial event on a social platform also involves a 10-100x increase in general activity and user “passion” levels. It’s a very interesting and popular event, regardless of political/social alignment (right, left, whatever).
At ALL times on social platforms, there’s a low ambient incidence of rule-breaking behavior (e.g. 0.1% of users). These users or subreddits get banned when it is detected; nobody gives it a second thought - it’s fairly routine.
Because controversial events have orders of magnitudes more activity, it is nearly guaranteed that SOMEONE is going to do something bad. It usually doesn’t have anything to do with the “issue,” people just get wild/angry and out of control.
The social platform, acting completely fairly and enforcing rules it has always been enforcing, bans the user (or the subreddit, depending on specifics of the offense).

Result: everyone assumes the platform banned them due to Being On Some Side Of The Issue.
Everyone who has ever run a social platform (or moderated a very large forum) is familiar with this dynamic.

Conversely, almost no one who has never done so isn’t, and without fail tends to assume ill intent.
Ironically, police tend to understand this:

In any energetic and popular protest, there are a small number of bad actors who use it as cover to engage in mayhem.

The problem is how to deter and prevent these actors from making both the protesters AND police look like villains.

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More from @yishan

11 Jan
The emergence of many new hypocrisies typically heralds an emerging new cultural synthesis.

Are you disturbed that you agree with one of those viewpoints? Or perhaps that other people you respect do?

1/x
Let me offer a framework for thinking about things like this, something called an “Omega Event.”

It was first described to me by Erik Martin, one of Reddit's first community managers:
In governance, Omega Events exist due to the fact that no system of beliefs, no worldview, no set of rules, can account for everything that will ever happen.
Read 30 tweets
22 Apr 20
I heard a great phrase awhile ago: "Cargo Cult Lockdown." Originally the guy who mentioned it was referring to how countries were imitating China's lockdown, but would fail to understand the details, methods, and follow-up needed to allow for successful subsequent opening-up.
(If you don't know what "cargo cult" refers to, here is a primer from Feynman's speech where he explains it: en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cargo_cul… )
But now I see it over and over as people point to this or that country (eg Japan, Sweden, SG, HK, Germany) as their example for whatever path forward their politically-aligned sphere seems to currently prefer.
Read 7 tweets
5 Apr 20
HAPE symptoms similar to covid: "HAPE was misdiagnosed for centuries, as evidenced by frequent reports of young, vigorous men suddenly dying of “pneumonia” within days of arriving at high altitude."

ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/P…
"Early symptoms of HAPE include a subtle nonproductive cough, dyspnoea on exertion and reduced exercise performance. As HAPE progresses, cough worsens and the subject may have a debilitating degree of dyspnoea, even at rest."
HAPE's mechanism results from low amounts of ambient atmospheric oxygen, so the subject's blood is unable to bring enough oxygen to the body.

Nothing is "attacking" the lungs, but the lungs show similar inflammatory symptoms to covid, because O2 in blood is low.
Read 4 tweets
30 Mar 20
This paper appears to yield a number of VERY USEFUL hypotheses and treatment for critical patients if true:

chemrxiv.org/articles/COVID…

(1/n)
Using computational analysis (modeling the behavior of a molecule in a computer), they've worked out the probable mechanism by which SARS-nCov-2 wreaks havoc on patients, as well as why chloroquine and favipiravir seem to work.

Here's what I've figured out:
Inside our red blood cells, there is a molecule called hemoglobin, which contains heme groups. Each heme group is a molecular "ring" (called a porphyrin) that can hold an iron (Fe) ion inside.

Having an iron ion inside is what allows this heme to carry O2 (and CO2) in our blood.
Read 19 tweets
30 Mar 20
Hold on, let me get this straight.

At the beginning of the new Animal Crossing, you are trafficked to an island by this guy, and when you arrive you’re told you’re now in debt and need to work it off?
And this guy’s family members are also there on the island, telling you what jobs to do, like PICKING FRUIT, so that you can make the money to pay back the cost of bringing you there?
And not only that, you can’t participate in many of the game’s creative activities until you’re out of debt?

Like, “I came seeking the Animal Crossing Dream, but for now I’m just cheap labor for their farms?”
Read 4 tweets
9 Mar 20
A possible reason why SV was ahead of the rest of US in recognizing the seriousness of COVID-19 may be that most of the US (esp Boomers) still think of China as one of those backwards places that has disease outbreaks “that would never happen” in a “modern” country.
In contrast, SV is painfully aware of how advanced China really is, arguably having superior infrastructure, better mass technology deployment, and integration of data and health systems in everyday life - especially in large cities.
They are much faster at getting big shit done too, and have been beating American tech companies repeatedly over the past two decades. Sure, home court advantage and all, but a win is a win.
Read 8 tweets

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