There is more to the $GME squeeze than just hedge funds over shorting the stock. It also has to do with option flow (and who it is that normally SELLS call options)

But first you need to know some basics (then you can #EatTheRich by beating them at their own game)

Thread
First, you need to understand what a Call Option is.

A call option is a contract that you can pay for that gives you the right (but not the obligation) to buy 100 shares of a stock at a certain price by a certain date, no matter what the actual price of the stock is by that date
Buying a call option has a cost associated with it, and while anyone call sell a call option (if they own 100 shares of the underlying asset aka the stock), it is NORMALLY done by big groups like Citadel. They are the ones who sell the vast majority of option contracts.
When they sell you an option contract, they are supposed to purchase 100 shares of the underlying security in order to "cover" the position. That way, if $GME goes from $25 to $250 over a few months, and you have a call option that lets you buy $GME at $30, they actually . . .
have the shares to sell you at the agreed upon price (in this example, $30).

If you have a contract that lets you buy 100 shares of $GME at $30, and $GME is trading at $250, that contract is worth AT LEAST $220 x 100 or $22,000 (because each contract is for 100 shares)
But on the flip side, if you buy a Call option and the price of the stock goes down, and is lower than the agreed upon price of your contract, the contract will expire worthless.

Here is where it gets interesting.

It is possible for SOME people (aka Citadel) to sell you . . .
a call option WITHOUT buying the underlying stock to secure the position. This is called naked call selling. This can be VERY costly when the naked call selling goes against Citadel. Because now, Citadel (or whoever sold call options without owning $GME first) is under CONTRACT
To sell 100 shares of $GME to whoever holds these contracts at the agreed upon price (probably lots of contracts between $40 and $150 that are deeeepd ITM)

BUT Citadel DOESN'T HAVE THOSE SHARES. And in fact, THERE AREN'T ENOUGH SHARES OF $GME TO COVER EVERY CONTRACT
This puts Citadel in deep shit. They now have to buy up a TON of shares at $200+ in order to fill these contracts that they sold. Which is why they are so desperate for the price of $GME to drop.
This is also true of $AMC, $BB, and a lot of the other heavily shorted stocks that have been going wild.

Naked call selling is a way that companies like Citadel make a TON of money. Because they never have to back up the call with the shares. Until they do.
This is where the "float" comes into play. Shares float = the number of shares that are available on the public market.

$GME has just over 50M shares in it's public float.

Take 50M and divide it by 100, and that gives you the number of contracts that SHOULD be able to be sold.
So in the case of $GME, 5 million option contracts would theoretically control the ENTIRE FLOAT of $GME

So let's take a look at how many in the money call options have been sold for $GME:
For THIS WEEK expiration ALONE, there are over 73,000 call options that are DEEP in the money. This represents 7.3M shares of $GME, which has a total float of 50M shares.

In other words, this is about 15% of the float.
If you keep going out week by week on the expiration, it becomes clear that FAR TOO MANY call options were sold. Citadel (and others) got GREEEDY

And now they are paying for it because they are under contract to provide $GME shares for $40 and $50 and $100 to tens of thousands
of investors who own these call option contracts. But Citadel DOESN'T HAVE THE SHARES. Because all of the shares are locked up buy "those dumb retail investors"

It. Is. Beautiful.
correction - 500,000 contracts. not 5 m

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh
 

Keep Current with Tyler Taggart

Tyler Taggart Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

PDF

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @TylerTaggart1

30 Jan
Ok here is the extended thread on $XL I promised.

It is pretty straight forward.

For those that are new to stocks / options (because of the influx of interest due to $GME, $AMC, $SLV, etc), here are some terms you should google:
-Short Interest
-Call option
-Open Interest

/1
XL Fleet short interest increased from 50% to 72% in the latest reporting (came out Friday)

That alone piqued my curiosity in the company so I took a position in some Feb calls (in my robinhood account) and will be adding more in my TD account this coming week.

/2
Several days ago, Biden announced that he would be replacing the entire govt. fleet with electric vehicles
reuters.com/article/us-usa…

$WKHS got a massive pump on this news but that was about it.

Who are the other likely candidates? $GOEV and $XL
Read 11 tweets
15 Dec 20
1/ $VERB

It's time for a new thread on this

Verb Technologies is perhaps my favorite investment stock right now, and it also presents some good trading opportunities.

So first, let's dive into what VERB does.

VERB has a few major products with different customer bases.
2/ Verb CRM

This is the bread and butter that has supported VERB so far.

This is a two part tool: First, it allows companies (or solopreneurs of client based businesses) to keep track of their leads and customers. Pretty standard for a CRM.
3/ The second part is where it gets interesting tho. VERB CRM allows you to create interactive videos that you can send to leads and clients.

The interactive videos are seeing a 600-1200% increase in conversion compared to normal video.
Read 28 tweets
17 Sep 20
1/ The @stockdweebs analysis I did received significant more attention than I expected and there were a lot of questions about what vWAP is and why it is important.

To recap - Stock Dweebs is the 🐐 when it comes to trading.
2/ I have been a part of several chat rooms, paid and unpaid, and nobody comes close to Dweebs in both win rate AND % profit on plays.

If you aren't already, go follow him and read through his "10 Rules"
3/ Here is the link to the google sheet where I did my analysis.
docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d…

Also big thanks to @ArlesGreyDog for doing the legwork. He is the one who originally put the sheet together. I just added my vWAP observations on top of it.
Read 21 tweets
24 Jul 20
$VERB A Thread

I may be early on this one (it could fall a bit before gaining), but I am long.

What is VERB?

VERB is a CRM / Content creation tool tool that helps people generate content to capture leads / make sales.

Was skeptical at first. After trying the app, I'm sold.
Comparing it to CRM's let's look at $CRM (Salesforce) History.

Nice graph yeah?

The CRM Market is HUGE and isn't going anywhere. Businesses always need a way to capture and keep track of leads and customers. Image
What makes VERB so unique?

Once I downloaded the app, it became very clear that this is going to be a MUST HAVE tool for the future of marketing.

I've spent the last 4 years perfecting the art of selling stuff on Amazon, and I've learned a few things . . .
Read 14 tweets
10 Jul 20
$JMIA A Thread: 5-10 year hold + millionaire maker stock

What is Jumia? Jumia is a combination of Amazon, Uber Eats, Square (merchant processing), Small Business Lending, 3PL, and Utility/Cell Phone bill payments for all of Africa
Some comparable companies to JMIA:
AMZN, SQ, UBER (for the United States)
MELI (For S. America)

MELI is the Amazon + Square of S. America, with a heavy focus in Argentina. In 2008, MELI was at a low of $7.81 per share. Today, MELI is trading for over $1,000 per share
Next a look at financials for MELI / JMIA (a much better comparison than AMZN)

MELI is operating in Argentina, Brazil, Mexico, Uruguay, Columbia, Chile, and Peru. Combined, these countries have a population of ~490 Million people.

In 2019 MELI reported Net Rev $2.3B
Read 18 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!


This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Too expensive? Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal Become our Patreon

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us on Twitter!