As January winds down, I'm going to stop writing recs about what the Biden administration should do, and let them have a chance to try to get some things done. Pivoting now back to book writing. Listing here for last time my "should" list. THREAD 1/
"Bold, ambitious and new"? Really? Seems like a restatement of the current DC conventional wisdom to me. Nothing wrong with that ... in fact, that's good. I agree with much of it. But maybe I'm missing something about newness? Others weigh in? THREAD 1/
I guess the policy prescription to try to divide Xi from CCP is new (and not very Kennanesque). Seems very hard to do for the U.S., but I'm not a China expert as I assume the anonymous author is (Kennan was a Soviet expert). Curious to hear what other Chinese experts think. 2/
One new idea by "X 2.0" is analytically naive: "Dividing Russia from China in the future is equally so. Allowing Russia to drift fully into China’s strategic embrace over the last decade will go down as the single greatest geostrategic error of successive U.S. administrations."3/
My piece w/ @kath_stoner from a year ago: "Russia now ranks a dismal 138 out of 180 countries on the Transparency International Corruptions Perception index, a drop from its rank of 60 in 2000 when Putin became president." themoscowtimes.com/2020/01/21/chi… THREAD 1/
"The lack of significant improvement in the rule of law has stifled the engine of economic development, the creation of small and medium-sized enterprises, and suppressed investment and innovation, especially in Russia’s high-tech sector." 2/
"Putin’s adventurous, belligerent actions abroad ... triggered new international isolation and economic sanctions and further hindered economic development. " 3/
To answer many questions being asked of me here about Navalny, reupping this old @PostOpinions essay with a short thread (for those who can't get behind the paywall) washingtonpost.com/opinions/a-rus… THREAD 1/
"Alexei Navalny holds the audacious belief that Russians should be able to choose their leaders in free, fair and competitive elections. That’s why he tried to run for president in 2018, but was denied a place on the ballot." 2/
"He believes that government officials should not use their power for personal enrichment. That’s why he operates one of the most important investigative media outlets in Russia." 3/
As the new Biden national security security team settles in, reupping some recommendations for tackling various issues. (This will be my last set of recommendations for a while; don't want to be second guessing new team right away.) THREAD. 1/
During the @JoeBiden@Transition46 , Ive been offering some unsolicited policy recommendations in print. As they move today from transition to governance tomorrow, collating them all here in one THREAD. 1/.
On diagnostics, here is what the Biden national security team inherits from Trump tomorrow: "The good, the bad and the (very) ugly foreign policy legacy Trump leaves for Biden" nbcnews.com/think/opinion/… 2/
On prescriptions, here are 6 essays on how to improve (1) diplomacy, (2) support for global democracy, (3) strategic communications and USG media, as well as how to deal with (4) Russia, (5)China, and (6) Iran. 3/
"On January 6, 2021 a violent mob attacked the United States Capitol to obstruct the process of our democracy and stop the counting of presidential electoral votes. This insurrection caused injury, death and destruction in the most sacred space in our Republic." THREAD 1/
"Much more will become clear in coming days and weeks, but what we know now is enough. The President of the United States summoned this mob, assembled the mob, and lit the flame of this attack. Everything that followed was his doing. " 2/
"None of this would have happened without the President. The President could have immediately and forcefully intervened to stop the violence. He did not. There has never been a greater betrayal by a President of the United States of his office and his oath to the Constitution."3/