SIX successful COVID-19 vaccines! SIX! Three just in the past week! Extraordinary. The newest one is the Russian (Rus) adenoviral (Ad) vector COVID vaccine. The clinical trial data look really good at face value. 🧵
92% efficacy overall, and 92% efficacy in people over 60 years old.
I will let clinical trial design experts weigh in on trial design features. I will comment on the basic outcomes and the immune responses.
The protection results are in line with the immunogenicity data, in comparison to several other vaccine trials.
In the earlier Rus clinical trial, the vaccine elicited strong neutralizing antibodies after 2 doses. Those levels appear to be in line with the 2-dose RNA vaccines doi.org/10.1016/S0140-…
The Rus protection results appear to be better than a single dose of the J&J vaccine (for which full numbers are not public yet), but the Rus vaccine was 2-dose.
The Rus vaccine saw 8x more neutralizing antibodies after the 2nd shot. J&J got 4x more neutralizing antibodies after 2-dose compared to 1-dose.
So, it is reasonable to expect that the ongoing J&J 2-dose COVID vaccine clinical trial will do quite well.
Of note, the Rus vaccine had only sporadic neutralizing antibodies after a single immunization with Ad26-S (11/18 positive at all). In contrast, the J&J vaccine (which uses a P-P stabilized S) had much more consistent neutralizing antibody responses after a single dose (91%-99%).
CD4 and CD8 T cell data followed the same trend. 1-dose J&J appeared to be more consistent at CD4 and CD8 T cell responses than 1-dose Rus.
The adenoviral vectors elicit a good CD4 and CD8 T cell response in both cases for the condition used in the efficacy trial (1-dose J&J. 2-dose Rus), and those T cells may be important for protecting against variants.
Ad26 vector vaccine approaches have been extensively developed by Dan Barouch and colleagues over the past 10+ years, and that approach is used in both the J&J and Russian vaccines.
Bottom line: more good vaccine news (SIX vaccines!), with protection against COVID generally consistent with the immune response data.
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What about vaccinating people who have already had COVID? I get this question a lot. New answers now! 🧵 nytimes.com/2021/02/01/hea…
Excellent and rapid work to find that, for people who have previously had COVID, one COVID vaccine dose gives a bigger antibody response than seen in COVID-negative people receiving a normal two dose COVID vaccine regimen.
One study by Viviana Simon & @florian_krammer and colleagues. And an independent stduy by Sajadi and colleagues in Maryland.
2/ That includes USA, Latin Amer, and South Africa study sites. It will be important to see more data, because the initial press release was definitely thin on data. But, initial report 72% efficacy against "moderate to severe" disease. That is good for a single dose immunization
3/ The J&J COVID-19 vaccine generated good immune responses in people after one immunization, but there was a substantial boost to the antibody response after a 2nd immunization. A 4x gain. (T cell responses after the 2nd dose were not reported) nejm.org/doi/10.1056/NE…
1/ Novavax UK first:
~90% protection again any symptomatic COVID-19. And that high level of protection was accomplished under conditions of very intense community transmission in the UK, which is a high bar. 1/n bit.ly/3oEpann
2/ (i.e., most likely a higher bar for protection than USA summer transmission, or anywhere with low level SARS2 transmission). And that was under conditions of high prevalence of the "UK variant" (B117), which is significantly more transmissible than the parental SARS2 strain.
3/ The Novavax vaccine was quite protective against both the parental strain and the UK variant, which is welcome news.
1/ Here's my review on adaptive immunity to COVID-19 and SARS-CoV-2. I hope you find it useful. It was a lot of work. Thanks to Prof Alex Sette @SetteLab and others for direct contributions and broader input over the year! cell.com/cell/fulltext/…@CellCellPress
2/ And thanks to all of the amazing scientists and labs around the world that have done so much work making incredible progress on these challenging COVID-19 immunology topics in the past year!
3/ FYI, here's the right version of Figure 1. It should be updated in the next version posted online.
2/ Definitely good news to see these data on the Pfizer vaccine working against the 501 variant. If anything, the vaccine works better against this variant. biorxiv.org/content/10.110…
3/ It isn't the end of the story, because the UK / SA variants have mutations in addition to 501, but these vaccine data are an important piece of the puzzle. As noted in the article, more is expected from labs in the coming weeks, but these results are expected & encouraging.