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Lewis Goodall Profile picture
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3 Feb, 6 tweets, 1 min read
This...isn’t right.
There’s an argument the UK got unlucky with the Kent variant. But the idea that no-one predicted it could happen is nonsense. It was widely speculated about from the pandemic’s earliest days.
Though even with this, scientists were also warning that high prevalence=more chance of a mutation.
There’s a second point for which Ms Harding has direct responsibility. If track and trace/self isolation regime were working properly, given any mutation’s initially tiny numbers we should have a good chance to contain without even realising they exist.
If that isn’t happening, Ms Harding will have to be able to explain why.
Full remarks from Ms Harding

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More from @lewis_goodall

Lewis Goodall Profile picture
4 Feb
On Brexit, James Buchan, Chief Exec of Scottish Seafood Association tells the Scottish Affairs Select Committee: “I’m not going to say it any other way: for our members it has not been the best deal- it’s a sad state of affairs.”
James Withers, Chief Exec, Scottish Food and Drink Federation adds: “There have been catastrophic decisions taken to create enormous non-tariff barriers. We have ended up with a trading regime which is complex, costly, slow, prone to break down at its best.”
Withers continues “At its worst some food exporters have been shut out of the EU market altogether in Scotland and the rest of the UK. Unfortunately it’s the very predictable outcome of trying to test a multi billion £ trading system in real time in the middle of a pandemic.”
Read 25 tweets
Lewis Goodall Profile picture
3 Feb
Curious discourse at the moment on Northern Ireland. The problems were predicted and are intrinsic to divergence and the Protocol. And here's the thing- the more GB diverges (ie the point of Brexit), the more potential there is for friction for NI north/south and east/west.
There is a great deal of talk at the moment (we heard from the PM yday) about protecting and securing NI's place in the Union. Sometimes it doesn't seem to have quite sunk in that NI's place in the Union has quite fundamentally changed- and that was at the PM's own hand.
Reported this on Dec 10th when Protocol was signed. Doesn't contain unique insight that many others didn't express. It was clear that tension had potential going to exist permanently as a result of these much changed economic and political structures. bbc.co.uk/programmes/p09…
Read 4 tweets
Lewis Goodall Profile picture
3 Feb
NEW: The UK records another 1322 Covid deaths.

That takes the total to 109,335.

Roughly one in 608 of the population has died of this disease.
Nearly 50,000 of those deaths (49,077) have been recorded since the 1st December alone.

33,117 of the deaths have been recorded since January 1st.

That's roughly 30% of all Covid deaths in the UK since the start of the year.
Have to be a bit careful because date of death is different to when the data comes in. But still the point is this "wave" has been catastrophically lethal. The immediate pre and post Christmas period has made up a huge % of our total death toll.
Read 8 tweets
Lewis Goodall Profile picture
2 Feb
Spent the day at a special school in south London.

The difficulties parents are facing are significant everywhere. None more so than in special schools.

All special schools are supposed to be open for all their children. But in practice it often isn't working that way.
Under government rules, all children with Education, Health and Care Plans (or EHCPs) are considered vulnerable and entitled to school places full time.

But in special schools, every child has an EHCP. They're all entitled to a place.
Yet recent DfE figures suggested only a third of special school pupils are in attendance.

Why? Because schools simply can’t offer every child a place in a way which is safe for them or the staff.

Staff to pupil ratios are high (perhaps as many as seven or eight for a class...)
Read 18 tweets
Lewis Goodall Profile picture
2 Feb
NEW: Wow. Big news from Italy. Italian President Sergio Mattarella has asked Mario Draghi, the former president of the European Central Bank to begin talks to form a new government.
To anyone covering this tonight I will give you a pizza if your cue line is “Will he do whatever it takes to form a government?”
The parties of government in Italy wanted to do everything they could to avoid another election, an election which if it were held today looks likely to put Salvini as PM. Medium term, Draghi could be a foil Salvini feels pretty comfortable with. Playbook is obvious.
Read 4 tweets
Lewis Goodall Profile picture
31 Jan
NEW: News of the the other, much darker side of the UK Covid story comes in. Another 587 deaths.

Always lower at weekends but still nearly another 600 dead. 7day average down by 5%.

We lamented 100,000 deaths earlier in the week. Only days later we’re already at 106,158.
This is the context of the success of the vaccine roll out- the profound failure of the UK having one of the very worst total death rates per million anywhere in the world. The worst of any major industrialised country.
That’s why some of the criticism about reporting the success of the vaccine rollout is off the mark. They’re one and the same. We need it to be so rapid partly because of the dire straits we’re in, at least partly caused by mistakes in other areas of the pandemic policy response
Read 4 tweets

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