1/
$HIMX - Great results

- Q4 rev of $275.8M vs $265M est

- 31.2% gross margin vs 22.3% in Q3 & vs 29% guidance. Strong demand & better pricing helped. Allocated capacity to higher margin products

- EPS of 19.7c vs 16.7c est and vs 15-16c guidance

- $60M FCF in Q4 alone
2/ Extracts:

$HIMX secured “more capacity for FY21 vs Q4. Expect total capacity to increase qoq in 2021”….“will continue efforts [to acquire] more capacity”.

“Secured meaningful capacity inc in auto where [SC supply shortage] is overwhelming” - its leadership position helps!
3/
“The overall SC industry supply will not have any signf increase any time soon while strong demand is likely to persist longer than exp. In such an environment, $HIMX is preferred supplier to work with for our sizeable scale, diversified vendors & extensive product offerings”
4/
“With EV emerging as “next big thing”, the car mkt is embracing new display tech & shifting towards larger, more sophisticated & higher perf displays like never before. Already the market leader in auto DD biz, $HIMX foresees further market share gains in the coming years”
5/

“ $HIMX WLO revenue declined in Q4 due to lower shipments to an anchor customer – however, in Q1’21 – sales expected to increase “substantially” thanks to resumed shipments to fulfil the anchor customer’s higher demand. Should contribute further to Q2 gross margin”
6/

“ $HIMX continues to engage & collaborate with key customers & partners for their next gen products with focus on ToF 3D sensing, AR/VR gadgets, biomedical devices and others”.

Big growth to come from these areas in the future!!
7/

“ $HIMX ‘s WiseEye total solution – to start solid production ramp up from 2021-2nd. For key component biz, other than Google, $HIMX further partnered with SparkFun and Edge Impulse. Developers can now easily access $HIMX ‘s tech and enjoy easy-to-use AI development platform”
8/

As $HIMX is the preferred vendor for major Android names, with strong demand for tablets exp to remain, the high margin contribution will continue. "Leading position in auto display means support for high margins as $HIMX anticipates robust sales growth in coming years”
9/

Overall, expect growth to be more significant than 10% qoq guidance. I tend to like modest management – and especially love guidance beats.

$HIMX shares +4.3% pre-mkt

Disclosure: In case you haven't guessed till now, I am long $HIMX (Jan'22 calls)

DYODD

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More from @Yield_Fanatic

4 Mar
1/THREAD

I strongly feel that we need a mkt correction but I do not believe this is the time when such a correction will materialise.

In other words, I expect a broad market rally in the near term, once the mkt digests what both politicians & central banks want to do, globally.
2/
Powell's speech today was v interesting.

A. The short term rise in inflation we will see, will just be that - short term, not sustainable.

B. US economy is not even close to being in full employment which is what the Fed wants to see

I.e. no rate rises this yr at least.
3/
Even more interesting was Powell mentioning the Fed had not met its own condition for rate rises, even before the pandemic!

So, employment figures will have to be much higher than pre pandemic levels.

Now we understand what he meant by 'nowhere close to' rate rises.
Read 18 tweets
3 Mar
If $HZON is to acquire Sportradar, this is going to the moon.

I'd always liked $DMYD (Genius Sports) and found $DKNG to be an interesting biz too

Long $HZON warrants

bloomberg.com/news/articles/…
2/
From Fitch's Oct'20 report:
- 40% mkt share in largest segment (sports data & content-related services)
- Well placed as largest player to outpace mkt growth, with 29% avg org rev growth between 2014-19
3/
- Positive sector trends (eg online betting growth with 24hr betting options, e-sports and simulation sports gambling) = more data points for Sportradar to sell on the pre-game and live data markets.
Read 8 tweets
19 Feb
@BabyYodaCapital's thread on $CRTO is v interesting. This one really got me thinking. There is certainly an argument for RV here - meaning $CRTO has lot of upside on pure fundamentals alone Vs the likes of $MGNI and $TTD

But I believe there is a bigger picture here. Bear with me
First things first.

Let's face it. $CRTO's shift away from retargeting into the 'New Solutions' segment is driven by a need to survive due to the 3rd party cookie issue....
..but I agree that $CRTO's strong relationship with its retail clients has helped it gain access to a potential goldmine - i.e. client 1st party data esp. ecomm.

As a standalone entity, if management are able to execute on this transformation, $CRTO will do amazingly well.
Read 11 tweets
7 Feb
1/ $TRMR vs $MGNI

Have had a few people reach out on $TRMR esp vs $MGNI – they arent quite similar.

But, $TRMR looks more attractive on relative valuation vs $MGNI – signifying 5-10x upside from here.

$TRMR should be trading at £25-£56/share vs £5.48 today

MEGA Thread!
2/
$TRMR is an “integrated” platform i.e. it has both a SSP (supply-side) and a DSP (demand-side)

SSP: works with “sell side”– publishers who have ad space to sell (eg. $MGNI is a SSP)

DSP: works with buyside or the advertisers (eg. $TTD is a DSP)
3/
However, unlike a $MGNI or a $TTD, $TRMR is only focussed on video – that is their expertise.

Both $MGNI and $TTD are multi-channel based, although $MGNI is also focussing on video as that is where the growth is

Both $MGNI and $TRMR are ultra-focussed on CTV at present
Read 51 tweets
4 Feb
1/

Can someone please explain to me why $TWTR lags so much behind $SNAP?
I get it – it’s a controversial stock – but come on, this lag is just retarded!
If $TWTR were to converge to $SNAP ratios – expect share to be $110 - $137.5 or 2x – 2.5x from here. Image
2/

Controversy, you say.

Fine, lets apply a 20% “controversy discount” -- > still indicates 60-100% upside or share price of between $88 - $110 for $TWTR !! A no brainer trade, I say!
3/

I don’t think people appreciate $TWTR 's true potential. It isnt a charity, they are already monetizing – in fact, $TWTR generated $210m FCF LTM! Probably more when you factor in Q4 growth which is to come. Compare that to $SNAP - still burns cash but trades at 2x valuation
Read 9 tweets
1 Feb
1/ Long $HIMX

Taiwanese semiconductor supplier, $HIMX is undervalued vs peers like $ASML, $TSM, $QCOM. Upto 7x upside comparing P/S ratios (2x for $HIMX vs 14x $TSM & $ASML & 8x $QCOM). Factor in growth & $HMAX is a potential 10-bagger given AR/VR, IoT, smartdevice exposures Image
2/

Perhaps, a large part of this valuation lag is explained by $HIMX ’s large exposure to Chinese panel suppliers, who were impacted by Trump’s tech war on China. This risk has been removed for now with the new President likely to adopt a more China-friendly approach vs Trump
3/

$HIMX supplies IC for “display” products (LCD screens in smartphones/watches, tablets, monitors & touch controllers, displays/dashboard/GPS in cars, etc)

Has 9% market share behind Samsung (23%) & Novatek (22%) in Display. Also, 40% mkt share in tablets & 27% in Autos
Read 13 tweets

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