There are high levels of uncontrolled transmission in the US, UK, EU, Brazil, and elsewhere that are increasingly exposed to people who are vaccinated.
If we vaccinated 5 billion or so people instantly, like flicking a switch, the pandemic would likely end in a flash.
But if we vaccinate slow, as we are, over months and years, then any place where there are sizable portions of the population that are vaccinates AND high rates of transmission is a major set up for mutant strains that vaccines will not protect for.
Most nations failed at basic behavioral public health approaches for the past year in hopes of vaccinating our way out of the pandemic.
Over 2 million people have died with that approach.
And now those same places are head in the sand about novel strains.
Imagine 6 months from now that being vaccinated doesn't mean "you're safe." That we have no idea what it means because there's increasingly prevalent strains that the vaccines don't protect against.
It could feels very similar to where we're at now. Stuck in deadly limbo because of an unwillingness to take urgently needed action.
We need a phrase for this scenario better than:
"ineffective vaccines because of vaccine escape mutants because we let there be uncontrolled transmission and vaccination that was too slow"
Some say "we'll give boosters and develop new vaccines tailored to new strains."
That approach is chasing the puck. That approach is giving up on the current moment and best possible scenario. That approach sets us up to play whac-a-mole.
It is risky, prolonged, and deadly.
Even if vaccine escape mutants are only a mild feature and not a disaster scenario, we still need a paid shutdown right now because it saves the most lives and because it provide the economic support which is so urgently needed. thenation.com/article/politi…
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"The EU, US and UK make up only 10.8% of the global population but have given 50% of all vaccinations.
In contrast, Africa makes up 17.2% of the world in population but only 1.5% of vaccinations"
"COVAX is on track to achieve only about a quarter of its aimed vaccinations this year, which would amount to vaccinating a maximum of 5% in any one country."
Tomorrow as the WTO meets to discuss the #TRIPSWaiver, we will be taking it to the pharmaceutical industry with a series of protests throughout the US.
1/ Here's four things I hope everyone will connect with to better understand MLK:
– His concerns about white moderates
– Not just his dream but his nightmare
– Not just anti-racism but interconnectedness and anti-oppression
– Not just persuasion but organizing disruptive action
16 quarts of mushroom barley soup for us and friends.
(Not pictured: quart 17, already eaten)
We used this recipe with some modifications.
– added the barley at the end, not separately
– used Better Than Bouillon vegetable broth
– 1.5x carrots/celery/onion
– 2x dried shiitakes
– added garlic powder
Key sourcing:
– Baldor for pearl barley (we got 10lbs)
– Chinatown markets for white button mushrooms (we got 4lbs), shiitake
– Costco for carrots, Better Than Bouillon
RT if you think that we shouldn't be throwing out usable doses of the vaccine.
In the face of mass death and mass suffering, every wasted dose is a policy failure, a leadership failure, a moral failure.
Institutions are throwing out doses because they're rigidly sticking to their current eligibility recommendations, because they're failing to maintain the cold chain.
There should be mandatory, transparent reporting of every single wasted dose.