Who doesn’t like a great gaming business at a great price? A throw away at $10.1, IMHO $KSMT
Roughly-speaking, the Russian “CD Projekt” at 1/10th valuation and Cypress based?
At $10.1/share no risk until deal closure, and who knows, quantum fluctuations could take it to $13-$15 prior to that. $KSMT
"There are not too many games which grew 10-fold in revenue during 24 months" (Stock gets no respect.)
"Although we started in Russia, now Nexters is one of the leading mobile game developers in Europe."
10m shares earn-out at $13.5 and 10m at $17/share. Not bad. $KSMT
$MSGM (Motor Sports Games) that went public in Jan is 20x revenue. But much faster current growth, and losses. $KSMT #cheap
at 15x off-peak FCF, a major gaming “forever” franchise, new games in pipeline, strong team...seems good $KSMT
All quiet on the Eastern front. $KSMT
$KSMT de-SPAed. Trading $GDEV. Retail bailed out (most redeemed) and private investors put up required capital.
Hi growth, upped guidance, low multiple, new games launched. Acquisitions soon w. excess cash. Russian team in Cyprus. $GDEV
I'll be darned if it doesn't look like one of the better deals in the video gaming space right now. $GDEV
$GDEV accounting is confusing because much of actual cash in-game revenue is recognized as “deferred”. So reported “bookings” are de-facto revenue.
In 2020, $GDEV earned $120m FCF on $443m bookings (a very fat margin) vs. current MC of just $1.8b
Revised growth forecasts dramatically in July. Image
Forward growth looking good Image
Two new games launched this year and $GDEV reports great early traction for one. Image
Revenues nicely spread among geographies. Image
...with many other KPIs looking darn good.
Zero M&A, which is surely coming, is factored in the forecast. $GDEV Image

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More from @rubicon59

12 Jul
Jonas talks about $RFL in a 2018 interview. Very enlightening. Rafael starts at min 8:30.
"Immuno-oncology is the flavor of the month. Very expensive. Doesn't usually work."
"We would like to corner the field (on cancer metabolism treatment)"
Read 4 tweets
8 Feb
+40% on just this news. A new cryoto-based synthetic-asset trading exchange. Up 5x in 25 days. 👀 $LINA
Already $4.6b daily trading volume on the $LINA synthetics exchange. Still a fraction of valuation of $SNX that has $25b volume, but gaining fast.
"m" not "b" daily volume.
Read 11 tweets
3 Jan
Is $RFL the next Jonas StraightPath-like home run? Two cancer drugs in expedited-FDA-review status for a Q1 decision. Market size for Pancreatic approval alone could 10x the stock. 65%-approval chance each (FDA stats.) More Jonas magic possible? Or could be nothing....
$RFL$22/sh now. $200-$3,000 possible
- if Pancreatic drug approved this quarter (65% odds) & likely becomes standard of care.
- A typical Jonas set up. (I recall Net2phone $ Straightpath.)
With two fast-tracked drugs for FDA approval, 65% chance each this quarter, the EV on this one seems off-the-chart $RFL
Read 53 tweets
30 Dec 20
$FSRV - a very promising SPAC. A hypergowth play for a key position in ecommerce payments. Oddly cheap.
Is Affirm, a Levchin’s “BNPL” hypergrower, gonna go public? S1 filed.
Has anyone done any work on the name?
Read 30 tweets
16 Apr 20
Future PLC ( #futr ). Another great UK rollup compounder. 50%-CAGR. Now cheap. But, boy, an ad-based business model now?
Another day, another 50% cagr/share. IDK how #FUTR does it, but they do. 👍H1 results, esp for an ad-based business. Outlook seems fine despite virus. investegate.co.uk/future-plc--fu…
Results are so good vs price, this is either a fraud or a steal. #FUTR
Read 68 tweets

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