reading this all i could think is how the amount of knowledge we've accumulated about macroeconomics is really quite low and hardly seems to be moving towards "accumulating more knowledge over time" as opposed to relearning stuff paulkrugman.substack.com/p/stagflation-…
also "the law of diminishing disciples" is an amazing line. people have lots of thoughts about paul krugman but he's so good at writing about economics per se paulkrugman.substack.com/p/stagflation-…
(obviously a controversial guy but larry summers is a good example of someone who tries to say interesting, novel, not-pure-math-y things about "the economy" for better or worse)
also him being right about interest rates is almost certainly a more contrarian and consequential call than nickel-and-diming a nearly $2tn relief bill
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also look at what TANF actually does, getting rid of it while massively expanding and reforming an anti-poverty program to be far more effective is no great loss
in one sense this is embezzlement and fraud being described, but it's not like the money is being taken away from needy families, mississippi takes advantage of the block grant set up to reject viruallly all applicants and instead spends it on whatever
The block grant flexibility frees up states whose government are ideologically opposed to capital-w Welfare but have funding issues to spend it on "Public and private pre-school, child welfare, and college scholarships" cbpp.org/blog/louisiana…
The political sustainability of means tested programs is underrated but that sustainability may be due to the burdens they place on recipients and the low participation rates those burdens engender
People often say “just raise taxes to pay for the bigger program,” well, like how popular are broad based tax hikes? The ACA is janky and stingy because it had to be paid with a pretty narrow tax
Lots of Never Trumpism (especially that National Review issue) was premised on 1. Trump losing and 2. If he won, not governing as a conservative. So when he won and let Heritage do domestic policy and the Federalist Society do judges, the entire project became obsolete
So, like, it would be really weird for a sitting republican legislator to be anti trump, let alone a conservative pundit. He’s the leader of their movement and party and is mostly doing stuff they agree with. Ethic of responsibility!
And so it’s not surprising that consistent never trumpers either overwhelmingly care about one policy issue that they disagree with trump about (Kristol, Boot) or were already heterodox pre-Trump (Douthat, Forum)