I'm not sure if this is right, but are there (m)any Brexiters who are still calling for 'no deal' with the EU?
For better or worse, I am certainly hearing a lot less from the 'Go WTO' crowd. 1/3
Instead (at least in those brief moments when the blame game is on hold) they are calling for solutions to problems (teething or otherwise) caused by the reintroduction of barriers to trade. 2/3
In my optimistic moments, I think that there may be a slow dawning realisation that solutions involve recreating at least a functional working relationship with the EU. 3/3
PS A couple of further thoughts.
1. This now *is* Brexit. The Govt has to try to make it work. Its supporters will back it (for now). 2. My optimism doesn't extend to the NI Protocol. There, the refusal to accept reality continues.
A further PS: Maybe there is even some sign of constructive engagement when it comes to the NI Protocol. This isn't much, but the tone, and the fact that it is a joint statement, are (perhaps) encouraging. gov.uk/government/new…
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'Vaccine priority' and 'vaccine nationalism'. Some hard questions. THREAD. 1/13
So far, the UK has had a successful vaccine programme. It has signed contracts which promise the delivery of many more vaccines than it needs (now over 300 million doses, I think...) 2/13
The JCVI has produced detailed advice on priority groups. There is some debate (notably within @uklabour) about whether teachers should be moved up the list; but in the main, the advice is accepted. gov.uk/government/pub… 3/13
With due caution, a short thread on the vaccines row.
It is, in my view, a huge issue and will come to dominate global politics in the year ahead. Two world views are colliding, and there is no easy resolution. 1/7
First - vaccine supply can be seen as a 'normal' commercial contract, for a good which is very much in demand. Sellers seek out buyers and together they come to mutually satisfactory agreements. 2/7
If the EU or the UK or Nigeria (or Pfizer or AstraZeneca) have got what they think is a bad deal they should blame their lawyers, or their position on the market. If they have a got a better deal than their neighbours, that is to be cheered (loudly). 3/7
An (almost certainly unnecessary) addition to the long list of slightly strained Brexit analogies, this time featuring Fred Flintstone's car. 1/6
Over many years, the EU member states built the single market, in order to remove not only tariffs and customs within Europe, but also a range of other technical barriers to trade (so-called non-tariff barriers). 2/ 6
One can imagine the trade relationship between the states as a car, with an engine, which needs careful maintenance. 3/6
I can see that 'first dose first' might be the best strategy for now. As the article suggests, it is better for cars to have one headlight, than that some have two and others none (but note, we're a LONG way away from having all cars with one headlight). 2/
The article references two dangers - vaccine resistance and trust. It also rightly says that more evidence is needed (and the studies are underway). 3/
Back to the UK. The last week has seen (at least) four interventions by political heavyweights/grandees. What they say is interesting, as is how they choose to say it. 1/6
First, Tony Blair, or rather the Tony Blair Institute. It aims to save Britain from decline. 2/6 institute.global/tony-blair/ton…
Second, Theresa May. Her theme is not dissimilar to Blair's. But the tone is rather different. 3/6 dailymail.co.uk/debate/article…
One positive which seems to be emerging from the US today is that many (by no means all) Republicans and Republican supporters are turning against Trump.
Without the strong support of his party/base, he is immeasurably weakened, and the threat he poses recedes.
BUT... 1/7
What does that mean for those who have consistently opposed Trump? And, to bring the debate to the UK, what might it mean for those who are opposing Johnson and his attacks on the UK's constitution? 2/7
Trump/Johnson supporters do not seem willing or able to listen to the warnings of the opposition. More than that, they seek to present the opposition as the 'true' threat to democracy. 3/7