Health Nerd Profile picture
11 Feb, 4 tweets, 1 min read
I love this so I made a few more

WAR OF THE FOOTSOLDIERS: all non-pawn/king pieces are replaced with pawns
CHESSCKERS: you now need to 'hop' over a piece to take it. Captures can be prevented by positioning pieces behind other pieces
CHESSGEONS AND DRAGONS: roll a d20 to move your piece - 1-10 = no movement, 11-15 = move as normal, 16-20 = move twice

All pieces must have names. When taking a piece, describe the epic battle
THE FLOOR IS LAVA: any piece that remains in the same position (aside from starting positions) for more than 4 player turns is lost. Squares containing lost pieces cool and are no longer considered lava

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More from @GidMK

11 Feb
A lot of people have been talking about it, so I thought I might do a bit of a thread on plausible reasons for the decline in COVID-19 cases in places where behaviour hasn't changed much recently 1/n
2/n The basic background is that there are some places across the world where there hasn't been a reportedly huge behavioural change since Nov/Dec last year where cases are dropping, sometimes quite quickly

So what's causing this?
3/n The explanation proposed by some has been that these places have reached "herd immunity", essentially a threshold where enough people have been infected and recovered such that the disease can no longer spread
Read 20 tweets
9 Feb
This stuff is fascinating. Pay to low-income workers would increase by $509 billion under the bill, but the CBO has assumed that this is a fixed system and that higher wages -> higher prices -> less spending -> fewer jobs
Even more interesting is when you really dig into the weeds. For example, half of all those 'lost' jobs are estimated to be from teens working at the minimum wage
This is a problem that is quite easily solvable. In Australia we have age-adjusted minimum wages for precisely this reason
Read 4 tweets
8 Feb
Always remember the Golden Rule of international comparisons: the most common explanation for a difference between two places is to do with DATA COLLECTION
For example, maternal mortality. Commonly used as a proxy for the wellbeing of a healthcare system

Also, notoriously complex to measure. Here's some examples from the UK, US, and Australia on the measurement
And those are just the top-line statements! The true divergence between the recording across healthcare systems can be massive, because everything from death certificates to doctors' training differs
Read 5 tweets
8 Feb
This is a fascinating example of a complete misrepresentation of risk

- the risk for a 58 year old from COVID-19 is actually quite high (around 1 in 200 risk of death)

- the risk from being inside is complex, but likely minimal
Now, social isolation is harder to assess, and it obviously varies by person, but given the evidence we have on excess mortality in places with long lockdowns that haven't seen a massive increase, it's mathematically impossible for it to be higher than that from COVID-19
Moreover, going out and about during a pandemic has implications for people other than yourself, who may not be aware that you are so blasé about risks
Read 4 tweets
4 Feb
Something that is important to note - despite the somewhat fractious debate about this bad paper, I have not nor will I ever say that closing schools is necessarily a good thing
The issue here is a terrible paper that is wrong in many ways. The scientific community should be shocked and appalled at the actions of journals and authors when mistakes are pointed out in their work
But removing this one impactful study from the literature won't shift the needle that much. The question about opening and closing schools during a pandemic remains, as ever, complex
Read 4 tweets
2 Feb
Haven't done this in a little while, so let's have a spot of fun

Here's a headline in the Daily Mail. It seems...unlikely that this is true

Let's have a look and see
Lest you think I'm being unfair at the dumb headline, here are the next few paragraphs

Finger length impacts your choice of "masculine" or "feminine" foods! Science?
All credit to the Daily Mail here, they do actually link to the study. Wonderful doi.org/10.1016/j.food…
Read 17 tweets

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