Olà. Fiz algumas analises dos factores influenciando a % para o Chega/André Ventura nas ultimas eleiçoes presidenciais, usando regressoes OLS bastante simples. Eis uns resultados (thread) (1/n)
1. A percentagem de desempregados nao tem impacto. Controlando por outros fatores, os concelhos com mais desemprego nao têm uma percentagem maior de votos para André Ventura. O ganho medio mensal ou a sua variaçao nos ultimos 10 anos tambem nao tem impacto.
1.a Assim, a tese que o voto protestatario para o Chega é maior em concelhos mais pobres ou com mais desemprego nao parece confirmar-se.
Handelsblatt: Germany supported the idea that EU financial help should be conditional on domestic reforms. The EU considers that Germany hasn't reformed enough to qualify for financial help. app.handelsblatt.com/politik/intern…
"Germany lacks precisely the zeal for reform that it always demands from other EU states, the EU complains"
"Government representatives in Berlin have an allergic reaction to Brussels' demands. It is problematic that the Commission is making such demands in a super election year with important state elections in March and federal elections in September"
My parents in Switzerland don't qualify for vaccination yet but a South-African billionaire flew in to get vaccinated ahead of the official start in a canton he doesn't reside in... because he owns shares in the hospital network
Meet the Portuguese Sopranos: a tourist scam, drugs, corrupt cops, a chef, a criminal granny and "Pikachu" (thread) publico.pt/2020/12/28/soc…
A few years ago some international news outlets reported on a restaurant in Lisbon that would propose a "fresh" special not on the menu. When you got the bill you'd discover that a piece of codfish cost you 200 EUR, a beer 25 EUR, etc. english.elpais.com/elpais/2017/08…