1. One that values the elation that floods in from ACTUALLY saving lives/improving lives on Election Night much more MUCH MORE than the moral smugness of moral/ethical absolutism that leads to the crushing realization of 4 more yrs of Trump? Esp bc for other people, "perfect"
2. candidates, platforms, "I won't run negative ads, I won't lie about my opponent, I don't want to exploit my opponents issues when he was in his 20s, etc" & although I ♥️ @MichelleObama this, what I call the 'We Go High" strategy just go you, under the best race fundamentals
3. any party could ever get (horrific as they are): a crazy, frankly out of control incumbent prez w lower than Carter approvals who is, and I'm not kidding sadly, murdering via indifference & incompetence 2000, 3000 people a day & whose party in Congress, the Radical Republicans
4. Are so greedy, so wholly owned by their corporate sponsors, are literally holding the aide to the American people hostage. Holding the HEROES ACT hostage. BC its not passing, the Republicans are literally defunding the police. Dems have conditions to push the BEST
5. offensive attack again the GOP since 2006 (net 31 seats!, +6 in the senate) and it was bc for the 1s time in their entire lives someone convinced them to run a referendum campaign. They did NOT do this 2018, when the conditions BEGGED for it, and cut their gains in both
7. chambers down. And IF they had just done it in 2020 they'd have gained 15 seats, NOT lost 20. SO, as much as it hurts your priors losing LP will suck bc no they didn't single handedly win 2020 (spoiler alert- politics is almost never like that, though an event can come close
8. Their real value, and it was significant, was to teach Ds how to shape their messaging, which is SO DEF from R messaging, and not just the topics, there is a lot of tech stuff I won't get into here, but that helped the prez race BIG TIME bc Rs taught Ds how to create
9. referendum ads, for Democrats (bc this ARE diff).And it worked. BUT ads are not persuasive or affective in the ways people think. Any study you see about how LP ads didn't really impact turnout, or persuasion, could be replicated for any group RNC, DNC, literally anyone. The
10. political science on this stuff is really really strong. The effects of ads are hard to measure and to tell if they matter at all the best way would be competitive elections where one side agree not to use them. Very hard to get candidates to do that, for obv reasons.
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1. Yes, as @danielsgoldman is talking about now on @MSNBC is playing a big part. Rep Senator reluctance to go after Trump is MUCH MORE now than mere political reluctance. And frankly Trump made these threats openly known. Yet, he had his "lists" for primaries. But there is much
2. more going on here, that I'll touch on in the article which will also include the survey results ( there is STILL TIME to get involved w the survey. It is on extremism in the GOP- focused on MTW, GA-14 but also GOP extremism broadly. Ultimately, I waited to field it until
3. after the impeachment trial bc the survey wasn't really meant to test that (trust me, the big org will cover it!) and bc I was afraid it would impact what we are trying to measure. So now its time to get this puppy in the field. UNLESS, y'all care to asses some of this stuff
1. This is the prob w the media system covering impeachment as if its a damn murder trial. The senators are called jurors, but they're NOT. They have no enforced obligation to "judge" on evidence- they're free to "judge" on party loyalty. In both cases, they did that perfectly!
2.And I hope to show this in the upcoming poll y'all crowdfunded- many Republicans DID NOT WATCH THE IMPEACHMENT TRIAL.
Why? Bc they are working hard to maintain their Conway" "alt fact" version of America so, just like the 1st one, they are not going to watch
3. the actual trial. If they did they'd be forced to confront the "inconvenient truth of Trump's Big Lie, their Fox News & talk radio heroes Big Lies, their fav GOP elected ranging from Ted Cruz to Marco Rubio's Big Lies. They are NOT going to do this. There are a few centrist Rs
1. I've heard grassroots wanted witnesses?! I thought they wanted policy? I'm so confused.
If you get witnesses you get a feel good recap of Trump awfulness's & all the gory details
IN TRADE OF
the policy agenda they said they want
Which is it???
(This is what I mean when I
2. caution against using survey & focus group research to chart your agenda/focus. BC do you see here how these two things, bc now its offered in a "choice format"- where you have one at the expense of the other, the require a person to "weigh" the importance of thing A against
3.think B. Some people are absolutists and require no choice structure. Almost everyone else does. SO, if you're angry today about the decision not to call witnesses (which BTW was bc you then MUST allow the Rs the same opps and that could stretch the trial for weeks- and as you
1. Impeachment & its accompanying "show" trial is done. The House managers did their job & they couldn't have done it better: they proved the 45th prez of the U.S. a multiple front coup attempt to stay in office & end our democracy, ending in a siege he likely intended to kill
2. members of Congress & even a key ally that wouldn't, in the end, tear the Constitution apart for him. Though the GOP voting was spineless, some hiding behind a fake process question they actually set up on purpose by refusing to hold the trial before the 20th, 7 others, 7!!!
Now, everyday, those that betrayed their oaths and with them their countries, will see walking reminders that make it very hard to bury it down & forget.
Howdy, @AVindman Hoping to have you have you on my pod for my book bc your DMAN RIGHT- here right matters. Too fee people to state that fact right now
My org @StrikePac is changing that. Here, wrong will now haunt you, mercilessly. Would love to tell you about it
are doing to LP (I'm a board member). Of course, I may be wrong. After all, I was able to design a strategy that (assuming there is no infiltration of the group) would totally blow them us & IF LP is compromised (which I for a 2nd, I think its exactly like Mike said : no fucking
at least not from the old schoolers- the people like us that lived through Reagan. But anyway, that a tots separate issue. My issue/plan is I'd li to meet up with the ball busting continent of LPto see how keen they are on working some operations aimed at you voters, at
@Steve10023 I have no idea if any other unpaid sevior advisers were paid but after I saw this 2 days that the only female principal (this means people that actually work there) quit over this I had concerns. Between the Weaver thing, this? I trust @SteveSchmidtSES the most. I will say that
@Steve10023@SteveSchmidtSES that the person who brought me in, and I was brought in bc I was gaining popularity, on the media, & on here, ina GREAT position to promote their ads, which are just great. They know my public work insulating Trump affected my job prospects & that I ultimately I had to decide be
@Steve10023@SteveSchmidtSES between secure "non-partisan" analysis work, or pro-democracy work. So I'm building StrikePac & it is going to kick the GOP's ass! But seeing that Horn $ & knowing I was paying to be affiliated, seems like they could have tossed me a damn bone. Every day, bc people see the LP