Today I am starting a difficult experiment. An informal clinical trial with a single subject: Myself. I have MS and am treated successfully with Ocrelizumab. Unfortunately, the action of Ocrelizumab is to kill B cells, which are the cells that make antibody. /2
The production of antibody is the main mechanism by which all COVID-19 vaccines operate. It is known that being treated with Ocrelizumab heavily suppresses responses to vaccines. /3
This suppression lasts 6 months, and which time, the B cells start to repopulate again - gradually. Today, I was due my next dose of Ocrelizumab. After a lot of discussion, and widespread access to relevant data, including some unpublished, I have decided not to take this dose./4
This, of course, puts me at a greater risk of a relapse of MS. My most recent relapses were horrifying - affecting my sense of taste, vision, and mobility. Nevertheless, the best advice suggests that the risk of COVID infection is the greater of the two. /5
The aim is to repopulate B cells for up to three months, get vaccinated with the best vaccine available to me, allow up to three months to produce antibodies, and then restart Ocrelizumab therapy within 6 months. /6
I am not alone in making these sorts of decisions. Every person who is on immunosuppressive treatment, which includes many on anti-cancer treatments, need to balance these risks and benefits - of vaccination and effective treatment. /7
What is critically needed is for the vaccine supply to not be a political football. We need clinicians to be able to administer the vaccine at the optimum point in the manipulation of the chemotherapy regime. At this time, clinicians appear to have no control at all over this./8
The vaccination of 24 million people is far from trivial. World wide this is the largest and fastest planned health intervention in human history. I really hope we are up to it.
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A duck walks into a pub, orders a drink and a sandwich, sits at the bar and reads the paper. The landlord says, " Don't get many ducks in here. Where are you from ?"
The Duck says," I am working on the building site over the road. I am a plasterer". /2
The duck is in every lunchtime.
A circus comes to town and the Ring Master is in having a drink. The landlord tells him, " I think I have a great act for your circus, we have a talking duck come in here every day. /3
He's working on the building site over the road". "Tell him to come over" said the Ringmaster.
Next time the duck was in, the landlord said" I think I have a great job for you. The circus is in town and they want to talk to you. /4
“Now I will tell you the answer to my question. It is this. The Party seeks power entirely for its own sake. We are not interested in the good of others; we are interested solely in power, pure power. What pure power means you will understand presently. /2
"We are different from the oligarchies of the past in that we know what we are doing. All the others, even those who resembled ourselves, were cowards and hypocrites. /3
"The German Nazis and the Russian Communists came very close to us in their methods, but they never had the courage to recognize their own motives. /4
@emmadegotardi When I lived in the US, it was explained to me that the country ran on the backs of an underclass that was paid poorly, had no health care and no pension. Essentially these people replaced the black slaves following emancipation. /2
@emmadegotardi An example of how close this equivalence is, is the US custom of tipping wait staff, whose salaries are so low that they they are unliveable. Remarkably, the custom of tipping wait staff originated during slavery; wait staff were unpaid and survived on tips. /3
@emmadegotardi When emancipation arrived, many southern states were so opposed to it that the only result acceptable to them was to maintain the custom of tipping emancipated slaves for their labour. Even now, the majority of America's underclass are the descendants of those freed slaves. /4
Why Boris Johnson is not the new Churchill:
Churchill had a brilliant mastery of the English language, excelling in writing and delivering speeches; Johnson is a poor-to-mediocre writer, and a weak speaker. /2
Churchill, while ambitious, was at heart insecure and modest; Johnson is an egotist.
Churchill served in the army extensively; Johnson served himself.
Churchill’s policies were liberal/left although conservative; Johnson’s are extreme right. /3
Churchill largely educated himself; Johnson was educated at Eton and Oxford.
Churchill preferred to work, and did his best work, in coalitions. Johnson hasn’t done any good work; /4
So: What is Wrong with COVID-19 Hotel Quarantine in Australia? A thread.
After difficulties with compliance to COVID-19 stay-at-home orders for returning travellers, Hotel Quarantine became the mainstay of infection management for these people in Australia. /2
But the efficacy of this program has varied enormously between states. Here I argue that the key difference lies in ventilation. /3
Think, for a moment, about the hotel rooms you have stayed in: Most would be serviced by one of two types of air handling: a) Natural ventilation modified by a split system air conditioner; or b) A mechanical (ducted) ventilation system. /4
Victoria COVID-19 28/09/2020
A least squares fit of the latest case data trend line generated by the sum of two Lorentizian curves, fitting the curve ALL the way down to FIVE!!!.