Thread by @sahilkapur

This is significant. The House is on track to pass a $15 wage in the Covid bill. If it survives the Byrd rule then a federal minimum wage hike becomes likely. Senate Democrats aren’t all on board with $15/hour but they unanimously want to raise the current floor of $7.25/hour.

https://twitter.com/jnicholsonindc/status/1361411651963133958

And in that case, which Democrat is going to want to stand up and wage a fight against $15, which according to polls has 2-to-1 public support and 80-85% support w/Dem voters?

For those citing Manchin and Sinema—this is where the process matters. If the parliamentarian rules a minimum wage is noncompliant, it’s probably over. Those two credibly say they won’t overrule her. But if it complies, their only leverage is to shoot down the entire Covid bill.

And they don’t get to determine what bill receives a vote — that’s up to Pelosi and Schumer, both of whom support a $15 wage in a Covid bill. So if the parl allows it (still a big IF) the question flips from “who’s going to support it?” to “who’s going to kill the bill over it?”