The House and Senate Republicans who voted to convict Trump made a calculated decision that they could do it and still survive in their specific district or state. Give them credit for doing the right thing. But let's not act like they sacrificed themselves or anything.
Case in point: by the time Romney, Collins, and Cassidy are up for reelection several years from now, Trump will be a pariah and/or afterthought.

Murkowski has to run in 2022, but Alaska is a different kind of red state, and voting to convict Trump won't hurt her at all.
Kinzinger could face a primary challenge in his deeply red district. But he also launched a PAC after voting to convict Trump, so his 2022 campaign will be well funded as a result of voting to convict.
This is just how it works with Republicans. It's all calculations. The three House Republicans in close proximity to Parkland all voted to punish Marjorie Taylor Greene after she harassed Parkland survivors. Their vote against Green will help them in 2022, not hurt them.
Again, give these handful of Republicans credit for doing the right thing. But have no illusions as to why they did it. They felt they would benefit, or at least not lose anything, by doing the right thing, so they did it. It's just how Republicans and conservatives think.

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More from @PalmerReport

16 Feb
1) The narrative that Senate Democrats pulled the plug on impeachment witnesses, because Republicans threatened to hold up their agenda, is nonsense. Republicans don't even have the votes to do that.

After chewing it over, there's only one plausible reason they pulled the plug.
2) My initial suspicion was that Democrats pulled the plug on impeachment witnesses because they didn't want that testimony to interfere with the criminal cases against Trump. But in hindsight there has to be a little more to it.
3) Keep in mind that some of these would-be impeachment witnesses were people like Kevin McCarthy, who probably would have just lied to protect Trump, and gambled that House Democrats couldn't nail him for lying to Congress.
Read 11 tweets
15 Feb
One of the most effective things Biden said during the election: "I'm not a socialist." He didn't get lost in a vocabulary debate. He didn't pull back on any of his liberal policies. He just recognized that the word "socialism" plays poorly, and he rejected it. It's how you win.
Are you here to change America for the better, or are you here to win a vocabulary contest? Whenever the right is able to bait you into debating the definition of socialism, it means they're winning the political battle, even if you're winning the vocabulary contest.
The Republicans understand this. Whenever they want to implement conservative policies, they just frame it in a way that the middle likes and understands. They don't say "we're far right and we're going to make you like far right stuff too." That's never how you get a majority.
Read 8 tweets
15 Feb
Politically speaking, Trump is a carcass. He’s 100% washed up. Why are so many on the left so desperate to breathe new life into him by pretending he’s some evil mastermind who’s biding his time? It’s dangerous to throw him a lifeline like that. Some of you seem to WANT him back.
Trump is a political idiot who got lucky in 2016, then spent every minute of his presidency being in way over his head. He lost everything as a result, and now he’s broken and defeated. Trying to keep his ghost alive, just so you can rage against him, is harmful and disturbing.
Trump was afraid to speak at his impeachment trial, for fear it would be used against him in his criminal trials. He let his lawyers run a criminal defense for impeachment, even though he hated it. He knows the rest of his life is about criminal trials and prison. Why don’t you?
Read 4 tweets
15 Feb
I have an absolute right to push back against people who are LYING about me. If you're one of these types who opportunistically lectures me for not being polite enough to those who are lying about me, you're just as awful, and I do not want you in my audience. Am I clear enough?
I'm not talking about far right people or Trump people who lie about me. That has no impact on me. I ignore them. I'm talking about bottom feeders on my side of the political fence who think their role is to just make up lies about people like me. I will never, ever tolerate it.
There's a sick contingent of people on the left who spend all day making up lies about liberal pundits and liberal news sites, because they think it makes them look judicious in the eyes of other liberals. It's how they build their followings. No, they're not bots or whatever.
Read 10 tweets
14 Feb
Trump just lost in a SEVEN MILLION VOTE blowout, even though he was president at the time and he abused the office to try to rig the election as thoroughly as possible. And yet you chicken littles think he's somehow magically going to be in contention in 2024. Get a fucking grip.
If Trump had been running as a non-incumbent in 2020 and wasn't able to sabotage the post office etc, he'd have lost by ten or twelve million votes. He's one of the most unpopular political figures in American history. The fanaticism of his fairly small base doesn't change that.
Trump wouldn't be viable in 2024 even if he weren't about to be eaten alive by criminal charges, bankruptcy, asset forfeitures, poor health, and so on. Also, he's gone from Twitter forever, which was the only trick up his sleeve to begin with.
Read 4 tweets
14 Feb
The fatalists are now insisting Trump will never go to prison. These are the same fatalists who insisted that:

- Trump would cancel the election

- Trump would win the election

- Trump would overturn the election.

These fatalists are wrong 100% of the time.
There's a reason the fatalists are wrong every single time: they're so obsessed with their hyperbolic doomsday scenarios, they can't even focus on actual things that could realistically go wrong. The fatalists never predict the bad stuff that actually ends up happening.
It's not just that the fatalists, who insist we're going to lose no matter what, demotivate those of us who are fighting and winning.

It's that the fatalists and their doomsday scenarios serve to distract everyone else from the things we really should focus on, good or bad.
Read 4 tweets

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