1/With govts &many official institutions failing to implement policies to cut carbon in line with their fair contribution to the Paris 1.5-2°C commitments, citizens’ (climate) assemblies have a potentially key role in exploring what is necessary rather than politically expedient.
2/ Core to this is setting an open question & not one designed to constrain suggestions to fit with existing government policy. On this the Scottish assembly @ScotClimateCA stands head & shoulders above the more Westminster-focussed & highly constrained UK assembly @NetZeroUK
3/ @ScotClimateCA was asked “How should Scotland change to tackle the climate emergency in an effective & fair way? In stark contrast @NetZeroUK was asked “What should the UK do to achieve net zero GHG emissions by 2050?” ie. What polices meet Govt's existing climate agenda?
4/ The importance of this distinction can't be exaggerated. Whilst Scottish members are free to define a climate emergency, what’s fair, etc, UK members were subtly shackled to the UK Govt’s existing 2050 net-zero framing; one many judge is unfair & far from a climate emergency.
5/Although an open question is essential if climate assemblies are not to simply rubber stamp existing policies, so is the breadth, robustness & clarity of the evidence the members receive. Achieving such a balance is v.challenging & demands a lot of those organising the process.
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2/I find it disturbing @theCCCuk has adopted the climate sceptic ruse of "it’s too uncertain" (Ch8/3/c) as an excuse for not aligning its advice with the Paris 1.5-2°C commitments. Another “discourse of delay” – i.e. “push non-transformative solutions”? cambridge.org/core/journals/…
3/ In a recent paper we estimated the cumulative emissions implied by @theCCCuk ‘net-zero’ pathway as being around 9GtCO2 (not GHGs). This is 2 to 3 times larger than our estimate of the UK’s fair Paris-compliant carbon budget (2.7-3.8GtCO2 from 2020). tandfonline.com/doi/pdf/10.108…
1. Listening to #BBCInsideScience with @AdamRutherford my colleague @clequere noted the UK had cut its CO2 by over 40% since 1990. However, include CO2 from aviation & shipping, along with our imports & exports & the UK's cut in its total carbon emissions is much nearer 10%.
@AdamRutherford@clequere 2. Much to this 10% cut is due to the banking crisis/recession along with coal closures driven by the EU's sulphur directive. Certainly the carbon price has had some impact along with renewable polices, but only at the margins. #BBCInsideScience @adamrutherfod @clequere
3. Full national carbon accounting sees the EU’s climate ‘progressive’ nations of France, Sweden &Denmark deliver almost no cut in CO2 since 1990. Still worse,several EU nations have presided over v.significant increases. As yet there are no good examples amongst wealthy nations.