Many commentators have tended to depict the sea change that began in 1979 (with the election of Thatcher and the Volcker shock) as a kind of clear rupture – a “victory for neoliberalism” and defeat for older Keynesian models. That was not how it felt at the time. THREAD:
The 1980s experienced continued contestation over economic models in the Global North, with Reagan practicing “military Keynesianism” at home, with the E. European socialist model creaking but still seemingly permanent, etc. What we now call neoliberalism was heavily contested.
In fact, the place where “neoliberalism” was first deployed in full measure was not in the 1980s Global North, but in the 1980s Global South, where rolling debt crises enabled the imposition of structural adjustment loans that rolled back developmental-welfare states.
(Of course, those debt crises were a second-order effect of the Volcker Shock's shift in inflationary expectations. But the key point here is that the Global South in the 1980s, far from being “backward” was in fact at the vanguard of historical change.)
Only the in 1990s was the neoliberal shift fully consolidated from a political perspective in the North, with the collapse of communism & subsequent ‘shock therapy’ in Eastern Europe, and the elections of Clinton, Blair, Schroeder, etc in the West...
...which signaled that the center-left had resigned itself to (or embraced, if you will) the principles that the center-right had been promoting since the 1970s.

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More from @nils_gilman

24 Nov 20
I propose the concept of “platformentality,” which concerns how tech platforms direct users’ conduct through positive means & the willing (if not knowing) participation of those in the network. (This is in contrast to Zuboff’s crypto-Marxist concept of “surveillance capitalism.”)
The key point is that *a network is not a society.* Therefore the models of analysis and intervention that made sense when discussing the society of a nation-state are simply not fit for purpose when dealing with networks.
One answer to this that some people have had is to force networks back into national containers, so that the old political and regulatory frameworks can be applied. This will work only to the extent that the global connectivity promise of Internet is abandoned.
Read 4 tweets
17 Oct 20
Re-upping this point, with another thread below.
“Structural adjustment” is usually understood narrowly to mean the conditional lending programs, imposed on poor countries (usually amid debt crises) in order to get them to agree to the reforms which by 1990 became known as "the Washington Consensus."
But a fuller understanding of the global history of "structural adjustment" would have to go well beyond this, to include three additional crucial stories.
Read 6 tweets
13 Sep 20
"Political violence in democracies often seems spontaneous. But in fact, the crisis has usually been building for years, and the risk factors are well known. The United States is now walking the last steps on that path." - @RachelKleinfeld washingtonpost.com/outlook/americ…
I've been sounding the warning for years...
Read 4 tweets
26 Aug 20
Americans struggle to envision how the US may be faced with a new civil war, because we think a civil war entails massed armies fighting set piece battles over territory. But we’re not in the 19th century any more, & that’s not how wars (including civil wars) get fought nowadays.
Nowadays wars (including civil wars) get fought with information operations, “little green men,” targeted assassinations, and cyberattacks designed mainly to demoralize & disorient the adversary.

Seen from that perspective, Civil War 2.0 has ALREADY begun in the United States.
The future is already here, it’s just unevenly distributed
Read 5 tweets
4 Jun 20
Covid-19 is in fact the THIRD major ‘grey rhino’ event that has happened this century – the first being 9/11, the second being the global financial crisis, and the third being the novel coronavirus pandemic.
These all have in common that they (a) were foreseeable, (b) were foreseen, (c) were inadequately prepared for and (consequently) responded to, and (d) exposed and deepened political and social fissures, both nationally and globally.
Plenty of other Grey Rhinos lurk in the wing: US/China hot war; the disorderly implosion of the EU; the collapse of the global dollar system; a cyber pearl harbor; Indo-Pakistani nuclear war; radically bioengineered humans; discontinuous climate change; etc.
Read 9 tweets

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