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19 Feb, 5 tweets, 2 min read
DAIMLER 2020 RESULTS

The headline number says that Daimler made € 4.0 billion in 2020

And some contributors to that were :

- reduction in Selling expenses of -€1.7 billion

- reduction in G&A expenses of -€0.5 billion

- reduction in R&D expenses of -€0.5 billion

1/5
But that was not the true profit

Numerous other adjustments wiped -€3.3 billion from that number, leaving Daimler shareholders with only €0.3 billion for the year

2/5
And Daimler Shareholders Equity was further reduced by another -€0.7 billion

- including payment of a $1.0 billion Dividend

3/5
Cash Flow From Operations was remarkably strong, largely due to a shrinkage of the business

4/5
This helped with a reduction of overall Debts and Liabilities and shrinkage of the Balance Sheet

- but not in a reduction of Unfunded Pension Liabilities, which actually increased by +€2.4 billion to €12.1 billion from €9.7 billion

We expect more changes at Daimler

5/5

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More from @jpr007

19 Feb
The semiconductor crunch that has battered the auto sector leaves carmakers with a stark choice: pay up, stock up or risk getting stuck on the sidelines as chipmakers focus on more lucrative business elsewhere
reuters.com/article/us-aut…
Car manufacturers including Volkswagen, Ford and General Motors have cut output as the chip market was swept clean by makers of consumer electronics such as smartphones - the chip industry’s preferred customers because they buy more advanced, higher-margin chips
The semiconductor shortage - over $800 worth of silicon is packed into a modern electric vehicle - has exposed the disconnect between an auto industry spoilt by decades of just-in-time deliveries and an electronics industry supply chain it can no longer bend to its will
Read 23 tweets
19 Feb
NEW DRAMA FOR VOLKSWAGEN-PORSCHE

The €90 billion carmaker is mulling a listing of the Porsche division it has wholly owned since a major drama thirteen years ago
reuters.com/article/us-vol…
It makes strategic sense as a significant way to bring in new Equity Cash, but might also be a source of fresh wrangling over price and control

The history is colourful

In 2007 Porsche’s then-parent group upped its VW stake in what looked like an effort to gain creeping control
Whatever the controlling Porsche-Piech family’s intentions, in 2008 it wound up sparking an epic short-squeeze of hedge funds who were betting against VW shares

Subsequent lawsuits and Porsche’s crushing debt pile eventually killed a plan for Porsche to merge with VW
Read 11 tweets
19 Feb
RENAULT 2020 RESULTS

The headline number says that Renault lost more than -€8.0 billion

- and the biggest contributors to that were -€2.0 billion in Operating Losses and -€5.0 billion from Nissan

1/5
But in truth it was worse than that

Because there were still more adjustments to be made that don't show up on the "Income Statement"

- and these brought the total losses to -€9.8 billion

2/5
And Renault Shareholders Equity actually shrank by -€10.7 billion

- with the extra shrinkage coming from the Cash payment of €966 million in Dividends

3/5
Read 5 tweets
19 Feb
NOTE FOR THE FILE 20210219

1. For every 100,000 cars that Tesla makes, all other Automakers need to make 400,000 BEVs and consume >20 GWh of Battery Supply

- please show me that production and that Battery Supply
2. For every +100,000 units of new capacity that Tesla adds, all other Automakers need to add +400,000 units of new BEV Capacity and +20 GWh of new Battery Supply Capacity

- please show me that new BEV Production Capacity and that new Battery Supply Capacity
3. Why does this matter - PART 1

- because if all other Automakers do not do this, they will lose Global Market Share to Tesla

- and they FAILED this simple test in 2020
Read 5 tweets
17 Feb
HOW DO UBER ECONOMICS WORK ?

Using the 2019 numbers shown here :

1. Uber says there were 111 million Monthly Active customers

2. These folk asked Uber Drivers to make 6,904 million trips

3. So the average customer initiated Uber 62.2 trips
4. These customers were charged $65,001 million

5. That is 6.9 billion trips and $65 billion of fares

6. The average fare was $9.42 per trip

7. Uber took $14,147 million from those Gross Billings as their Revenue = $14.147 billion / $65.001 billion = 21.8%
8. The Drivers got the rest = $65.001 billion - $14.147 billion = $50.854 billion

9. This gives the Drivers $59.854 billion / 6.904 billion = $7.37 per trip

10. That's not a lot of money for the Drivers
Read 4 tweets
17 Feb
WORLD 4.0 - INITIATING COVERAGE OF THE MEDIA INDUSTRY

As the sponsors of the JPR007 LIBRARY already know, our focus to date has been primarily on the Transition from Energy 3.0 to Energy 4.0

- including Automotive, Energy Generation and Energy Storage

patreon.com/posts/world-4-…
And in our emerging World 4.0 there are going to be many other areas that need disruption including Money, Transactions, Communications, and Education

- we expect Starlink to become a major force in Communications

- and we are monitoring developments in Money and Transactions
Today we have identified a new disruptive source in the Media sector and some early parameters for how the disruption is going to take place

So this note is to let you know that we are initiating data gathering and research for the coming Transition from Media 3.0 to Media 4.0
Read 4 tweets

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