Frequency -- a measure of electricity flow on the grid -- fell to a dangerously low level in the minutes before the blackouts.
It fell so fast and so low -- and then continued to fluctuate -- that some generators think it may have forced some new plants offline.
Second, there were warning signs a week before the blackouts: Generators warning Ercot that the cold may affect generation, gas traders hearing about wellheads freezing in West Texas...
There was also a cyclical thing happening -- power cuts led to more power cuts.
Ex: Blackouts cut off power to gas compressors, which cut off gas supplies to power plants, which caused the plants to stop producing power.
Wind, as we note in the story, was the first resource to fall offline due to cold. But by Sunday night, no new wind was coming off. Coal and gas plants, however, started dropping like flies.
And lastly, once the blackouts started, the Ercot command center in Texas lost its water supply. They had to bring in portable toilets for the dozen or so operators who continued to work round the clock.
ATTN: I deleted the tweet below after receiving some info from one of the plant operators about the timing and scope of the outage. The story has been updated accordingly: bloomberg.com/news/features/…?
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And for those of you in Texas who were/are without power for days, Ercot did acknowledge that rotating the outages became impossible because so much generation was offline.
About 40GW of generation remains offline: 23.5 GW thermal (gas/coal), 16.5GW of renewables
The South Texas Project nuke that shut earlier in the week is ramping back up and feeding the grid again, so that is helping.
TEXAS UPDATE: We're piecing together what went down in Texas on Sunday night, hours before the blackouts began -- and trying to figure out when power will come back.
Around 11pm on Sunday, grid operator @ERCOT_ISO believed it had the situation in hand. Then power generators began suddenly and rapidly tripping offline.
Soon after, the flow of power on the grid dipped -- a situation that could lead to "catastrophic blackouts"
At that point, Ercot initiated the rolling blackouts in an effort to keep demand below supply -- which continued to plunge.
Capacity kept falling (grid operator says because of cold, although we're hearing different things) through Monday night.