Here you go: The Pfizer vaccine prevents infection, not just symptomatic illness. 14 days after 2nd dose, over 95% effective at preventing infection. And if you aren't infected, you cannot spread it to others.
It's hard to overstate how important this is. If vaccinated people neither get infected nor spread the virus to others, there is no reason to demand extra mitigation efforts from those already vaccinated (two weeks after 2nd dose).
There will obviously be more studies done on this. And we'll see if this level is replicated with the Moderna vaccine. There has been spotty evidence so far that the mRNA vaccines do prevent infection (in addition to prevent symptomatic disease) but this is a bigger result.
Wider Israeli data shows vaccinated infection prevented at closer to 90%. Follow-up study might tick it down a couple more points. Still, this is amazing. With this level of infection prevention, transmission among the vaccinated will be extremely rare.
Another study by Mayo Clinic, using Moderna as well, showing similar efficacy in stopping infection and transmission.

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More from @AstorAaron

22 Feb
One of the most frustrating political developments of this pandemic is the inability to accept that we - the royal "we", including "experts" - just don't know all the answers. So those issuing official recommendations might change or nuance and then be accused of "hypocrisy."
To be sure, there ARE genuine hypocrites out there who fail to follow their OWN advice. And there are those who hide and lie about their own records to portray themselves as more effective than they really were. I'm not talking about those folks, who deserve criticism.
I'm talking more about the general discourse in pure black-and-white terms, where reasonable advice on things like masks - they help somewhat but unless they are well-fit N95s they offer only partial protection to self and others - is treated as either "all wrong" or "all right".
Read 13 tweets
21 Feb
I'm curious about this: Are school boards trying to reopen schools in person and teacher unions resisting? Or are school boards not even trying to reopen them? I imagine it varies by district, but I wonder what the general trend is.
The narrative circulating is that teacher unions are the only block preventing return of in-person learning. But if that were the case, there would be a LOT more confrontation between unions and school boards and administrators than we are hearing.
Just to lay my cards on the table here, I support full return to in-person instruction (with virtual options available). We've done it in my kids' district since late July and it's gone well over all. But I also care about maintaining safety for teachers, staff and students.
Read 6 tweets
21 Feb
The first non-Native American to settle in what is today New York City was Juan Rodriguez, an Afro-Dominican fur trader who arrived on a Dutch ship in 1613. The second major arrival of Hispanic people in NYC were Sephardic Jews from Brazil in 1654. 6sqft.com/latin-in-manha…
The Cuban flag, designed by Narciso Lopez, flew for the first time in 1850 - and it was in New York City. He had moved from Venezuela to Cuba and then to NYC in 1849. Image
Along with Cuban immigrants to NYC in the late 19th century came increasing numbers of people from Puerto Rico. Few were more influential than Arturo Schomberg, who supported independence from Spain for both Cuba and Puerto Rico. Image
Read 10 tweets
19 Feb
One thing I like to focus on in teaching about World War One is just how little the public understood the danger. Here is the NY Times front page on June 27, 1914, day before Archduke Franz Ferdinand's assassination. Top story? Columbia University wins an intercollegiate regatta.
Two days later the news from Sarajevo hit the front pages in America. The other top story was the ongoing Mexican Revolution.
After another day of top coverage from Europe, the story was off the top line of the front page by July 1.
Read 12 tweets
18 Feb
That slavery existed in the North through the 18th century is hardly a surprise to most people today. That ~33% of the people in Brooklyn were enslaved in 1790 is pretty remarkable. Also, Queens County (which included modern Nassau County) was 14% enslaved.
Here is the source of the map. You can adjust it by decade. lincolnmullen.com/projects/slave…
Note that the State of New York passed a gradual abolition law in 1799. The last remaining enslaved people were freed in 1827.
Read 5 tweets
17 Feb
Texas’s power woes are bc of failure in energy transmission/grid/storage, not production. Energy source - whether thermal, wind, nuclear - is not the issue here. Maintaining (and weatherizing) the grid is the issue.
The energy source issue is a huge, but it’s not the proximate cause of Texas’s mass power outage right now. Investments in power grid maintenance are needed, regardless of what source is used to produce electricity.
Is a huge "one" - (pre-coffee missing word). Anyway, Texas famously uses its own power grid. That's fine if the state is going to invest in maintaining that grid properly. Power transmission is not a sexy political topic like fossil v. renewable energy source, but it's critical.
Read 4 tweets

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