A) The House Budget Committee meets at 1 pm et today to begin crafting its special budget reconciliation measure this week to handle the $1.9 trillion coronavirus aid bill.

Think of this first measure as the “shell” to handle the actual bill.
B) We expect the measure to go to the House Rules Committee tomorrow and then come up for debate and vote in the House late this week or over the weekend.
C) Republicans are seizing on how a sizable portion of the plan has little of anything to do with actually addressing the pandemic - be it from a health or economic perspective. Democrats will likely have to go it alone in both the House and Senate to approve this measure.
D) But it’s not out of the question for them to pluck off a GOPer or two in either body to vote yes.

The Senate won’t tackle the initial version of the reconciliation plan until next week at the earliest. The House is poised to get the bill back from the Senate early next week.
E) An amendment deadline for the final House plan is set for this Thursday. The House would then presumably vote on the bill itself in the middle of next week with the Senate following.

Watch for this: Does Senate Parliamentarian Elizabeth MacDonough rule the $15 out of order
F) The House and Senate are using special budget reconciliation rules to advance the coronavirus bill because it can skirt a filibuster. But the catch is that the bill can’t include policy provisions nor add to the deficit over an extended period.
G) Provisions like the minimum wage could run afoul of both requirements listed above. Thus, House liberals will likely get to vote for the minimum wage in the first package. But then must make a judgment call if it is stripped from the Senate package.
H) House Democrats can only lose five votes and pass a bill on their own without needing Republican assistance.

Even if MacDonough rules that the minimum wage provision is in order, Senate Democrats may lack the votes to pass the measure on their own.
I) Sens. Kysten Sinema (D-AZ) and Joe Manchin (D-WV) oppose raising the minimum wage in this bill. Without Republican support, all 50 Senate Democrats must stick together and potentially have Vice President Harris break the tie.
J) The goal is to have both bodies pass the bill by early March. That’s just before some forms of aid approved in December are set to expire

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More from @ChadPergram

24 Feb
1) Senate MajLdr Chuck Schumer (D-NY) and Budget Committee Chairman Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-VT) plan to meet tomorrow with Senate Parliamentarian Elizabeth MacDonough Wednesday about provisions which may be eligible or ineligible to be included in the upcoming coronavirus bill
2) Fox is told we should know at some point tomorrow whether the $15 minimum wage hike is included in the bill or not. 

The House intends to start with the national wage standard in its version of the bill, now up for a vote on Friday.
3) But the minimum wage may not qualify to be included under special Senate budget rules. 

That is up to MacDonough. 

Bills considered under the special Senate budget process known as reconciliation (which can sidestep filibusters) are subject to the “Byrd Rule.”
Read 7 tweets
23 Feb
1) The Hitchhiker’s Guide to the COVID bill: Expect a Saturday session. Bill likely finishes up early week of March 7
2) Here is what to expect when it comes to timing for the House and Senate to complete the $1.9 trillion COVID relief bill. This will be the sixth major coronavirus package when Congress concludes the bill.
3) We currently have MOST of the bill text for the bill. But the FINAL bill text probably doesn’t come out until Thursday or Friday. That’s when we expect the House Rules Committee to meet (either Thursday or Friday) to prepare the final version for the floor.
Read 16 tweets
23 Feb
A) Fmr Hse Sgt at Arms Irving: It has been reported that Chief Sund contacted me to request National Guard support shortly after that at 1:09 p.m. I was in the House Chamber working protocol for the Electoral College Joint Session at that point.
B) Irving: I have no memory of a call at 1:09 p.m. and I have reviewed my phone records: there is no call from Chief Sund (or any other person) at that time; the first call from Chief Sund in the one o’clock hour is at 1:28 p.m.
C) Irving: My records also do not show any text messages from Chief Sund at that time. Shortly after I left the House Chamber, I recall speaking with Chief Sund more than once in the period between 1:28 p.m. and 2:00 p.m. regarding the conditions outside.
Read 6 tweets
23 Feb
1) Prepared testimony from fmr Hse Sgt at Arms Irving: I want to help the staff and Members make changes and improvements to the security of the U.S. Capitol, and to ensure the tragedies of January 6 never happen again.
2) Irving: Intelligence and Security Planning in Advance of January 6, 2021 The U.S. Capitol Police Department (USCP) began planning in December 2020 for the January 6 Joint Session and the associated demonstrations and marches.
3) Irving: The large rallies in support of former President Donald J. Trump in November and December 2020 informed the USCP’s judgments about the intelligence for the January 6 events.
Read 15 tweets
23 Feb
1) Top GOPer on Senate Homeland Security Cmte Portman questions ahead of today's hrng on Capitol riot: We need to know: was there credible intelligence about
potential violence; when was it known; and who knew it.
2) Portman: Second, our witnesses have differing accounts about requests for
National Guard assistance.
o We need to know: did the U.S. Capitol Police request
approval to seek National Guard assistance prior to January
6, and if so, why that request was denied.
3) Portman: We need to understand whether the request for National Guard assistance on January 6 was delayed, and if so, why.
o And we need to know why it took so long for the National
Guard to arrive after their support was requested.
Read 4 tweets
19 Feb
A) From colleague Kristin Fisher. Confirms that Biden said the following to governors/mayors about minimum wage hike in next COVID bill: “I really want this in there but it just doesn't look like we can do it because of reconciliation."
B) Biden: "I’m not going to give up. But right now, we have to prepare for this not making it.”
C) And note…that there are two ways the minimum wage probably dies in the Senate on the reconciliation package.

The increase will be in the initial version, expected to be passed by the House next week.
Read 5 tweets

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