Thread on the new @EchelonInsights polling about voter priorities and what Republicans in particular are looking for. Unlike traditional "top issue" questions, here we asked people to rate EACH issue on how much it concerns them. We tested these issues with everyone...
Of the issues we presented to ALL respondents, the economic damage from COVID-19 is the top concern in large part because it is the most bipartisan - three-quarters of GOP and Dems are very/extremely concerned.
To the full sample, we did test some items that have big party gaps. But when doing a survey, you want to be mindful of "respondent fatigue" - asking people to rank 30+ issues would be A LOT. So we created a list of issues that are "likely primary issues" for each party....
Of the issues we asked ONLY of Republicans, illegal immigration, lack of support for police, taxes and liberal media bias are the top concerns.
Of issues we asked ONLY of Democrats, their biggest concern is Donald Trump's supporters.
Because the question wording is consistent for the party-only issues as well as the "asked of everyone" issues we can look at them together for better context.
Looking at the full range of issues asked of each side, Republicans still say illegal immigration and lack of police support are top concerns, while for Democrats concern about spread of COVID is top of the list, with Donald Trump's supporters" in second.
When we look at the likely GOP primary issue concern broken out by whether people see themselves as "Trump supporters" or "Republican party supporters", we see Trump supporters more concerned about pretty much everything, but especially election fraud.
We also wanted to look at what *attributes* Republican voters are looking for, and to what extent GOP voter preferences are "about Trump" or about something else...
BOTH "won't back down in a fight with the Democrats" AND "will work in a bipartisan way to solve problems" are among the top things Republicans say they are looking for in candidates!

Also important: supports Trump's AGENDA. (Supporting Trump HIMSELF is further down the list.)

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More from @KSoltisAnderson

29 Oct 20
There are a lot of polls coming out today, tomorrow, and this weekend. Before they do, looking at the data today, even assuming the polls are right, there is still a path for Trump. It is narrow, but it is real.
Current polling averages in the Sun Belt states - FL, NC, AZ, TX, GA - all have Trump in striking distance. They are tied or within just a point or two. Not enough for me to say confidently which way they'll go. If they all go Trump, that's ALMOST enough...
On the flip side, if the polls are right, Michigan and Wisconsin are gone for Trump. But he doesn't need them if he's won the Sun Belt....as long as he also holds Pennsylvania. Current polling averages have Biden ahead, but not comfortably.
Read 7 tweets
6 Oct 20
This research project is near and dear to my heart: an exploration of where Millennials and Generation Z think their futures are headed, how they define success, and what they think drives access to opportunity.

Report is out today ---> waltonfamilyfoundation.org/about-us/newsr…
Our research involved surveys of over 2000 Millennials + 2000 Gen Zers nationwide plus in-depth qualitative with over a hundred respondents.

How Millennials view themselves: Resilient, persistent, entrepreneurs.

How Gen Zers view themselves: Conscious, innovative, outspoken.
Despite growing up in the shadow of economic collapses, two wars, and now a global pandemic, young Americans still believe that success is within reach.

Seven-in-ten believe if they work hard, they will be able to move up the economic ladder.
Read 15 tweets
2 Jun 20
Results of new Morning Consult + Monmouth polls: Americans...
-Think protesters have good reason to be angry about racial injustice
-Think police are more likely to use excessive force against Black people
-Like their local police
-Are ok with using military to stop riots
Clear majority say the anger that led to the protests is fully justified. (Screengrabs from @databyler’s feed - this is from Monmouth). Image
Clear majority also say police are more likely to use excessive force on a Black suspect. (And a huge increase since 2016.) Image
Read 6 tweets
17 Jan 19
NEW POLL: @pewresearch gives us a first glimpse into the political views of Gen Z. Turns out they’re just as left-leaning as the Millennials. GOP now has a TWO generation problem. pewsocialtrends.org/2019/01/17/gen…
I am often asked if the pendulum will swing back and if Gen Z might actually be more right-leaning than the Obama-era Millennials. Current verdict: no.
Throughout the poll, Gen Z and Millennial responses are almost the same, save one topic: gender identity. Gen Z much more likely to know someone who uses neutral pronouns.
Read 5 tweets

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