Reminder that MBS is stuck in power. This guy locked up his own senior family members and regime elites and tortured them until they handed over their fortunes. There is no future for MBS out of power, once he's out of power a thousand knives await him.
Asking MBS to leave power is basically asking him to commit suicide, he can't do it even if he wanted to. Expecting the King to sideline him is also strange given how MBS actually runs the king and not vice versa. Asking the family to sideline MBS is asking for a coup.
Meanwhile hitting MBS with max sanctions will isolate him, but then he can't step down (see above). If isolated and feeling threatened, he'll become more ferocious and repressive, and will lean more on his buddies MBZ and Netanyahu to help him survive and repress
Today @gatnash and I mapped out a decision tree of all possible outcomes (will publish soon). It appears it's best to shoot for realistic demands such as release of prisoners + lifting travel bans + no more crackdowns; under pain of max sanctions.
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