Crypto victims see a number on a screen and think that because this number exists, it must mean that there’s value that justifies it. And they’re ready to believe any fairytale that validates this belief.
That’s how you get something for nothing. By mesmerising suckers.
Don’t be a sucker. Ask why a thing is worth something - anything. Don’t be impressed by word salads. Everything in this world can be explained with words a five year old will understand. If an explanation can’t part with bullshit like “byzantine fault tolerance”, it’s a scam.
When you buy something, there’s someone who’s selling it to you. That someone has owned that thing for a while, and he knows much more than you about it. So if you think that buying that thing is such a slam dunk, why is that guy who knows much more than you, selling it?
Unless you’re an insider, the moment you get the chance to invest in something, the battle is over. By the time the trend is established, the “opportunity” is explained to the masses, it’s too late. You’re not as much investing as enabling insiders to cash out. Enjoy your bag!
“But if you had invested in this thing 10 years ago you’d be rich!” Well, invest in that thing 10 years ago then. If you think you’re some genius smartass because you noticed something 10 years after the fact, enjoy giving your money away to actual smartass geniuses.

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More from @Tr0llyTr0llFace

27 Feb
The latest Tether leak is an email from Tether to Deltec, dated May 3, 2020, asking for help in "presenting their reserves in the best possible light". Their reserves being stakes in other crypto companies, and things in that area. This is a crucial piece of the puzzle. 1/n
Tether started printing like crazy in March 2020, as the market was getting destroyed because of the coronavirus. At the same time, Binance decided to switch from Bitcoin to USDT as collateral for leveraged trading. I always wondered what each party got in that deal. 2/n
It looks like Tether got a stake in Binance. In exchange, Tether probably ploughed what they had in reserves at that point (they did have some cash) to save the crypto markets from certain death, as everyone was trying to sell their magic Ponzi beans at the same time. 3/n
Read 9 tweets
25 Feb
This tweet was a print screen of an alleged email from someone at Tether to someone at Deltec, about business matters.
Yes, it violated Twitter rules as it disclosed email addresses (rule about privacy).
But now I really believe someone has a database dump from inside Deltec.🍿🍿 Image
If they have Deltec’s emails, that’s much, much juicier than just account info. Everything important inside a private bank is done by email, and they never delete them, in order to have written proof of what has been said - in case a client “changes his mind” after the fact.🍿🍿
Deltec must be on fire right now. The simple rumour that someone has their emails will lead every bank on earth to think a hundred times before processing a wire. You do business with a shop like that because you expect they’ll keep their shit together and remain under the radar.
Read 6 tweets
21 Jan
Watch out for the 1st blowup. With inter-exchange arbitrage bots awash with Tether liquidity, spreads have been ultra tight. The first exchange that gets in trouble (BTCUSDT dumping) will attract a shitload of USDT as bots rush in. This USDT will be trapped as exchange collapses.
The reverse might be true, of course, with BTC being trapped.
The bots will then be turned off as their operators panic, and inter-exchange spreads will blow up.
I'm not making this up. This is what happened during the 2007 credit crunch, only much faster because it's crypto.
Because there was so much USDT liquidity, all credit risk had seemingly disappeared from the system. If you could get cheaper Bitcoin somewhere, you bought it, and sold it off where it was more expensive. Inter-exchange spreads went to zero - not to mention derivative products.
Read 6 tweets
21 Jan
Today you’re going to see what happens when liquidity disappears. When you can no longer close a position. When participants stop trusting one another.
USDT printing was good while it lasted. Now Bitcoin is on it’s own. Just overleveraged bagholders trying to sell to one another.
When subprime mortgages started defaulting en masse in April/May 2007, and it was clear subprime ABSs were toast, banks initially pumped the price of those ABSs on the markets, to entice more investors to buy, and offload their bags.
Still wonder why Bitcoin pumped to new ATHs?
The writing was on the wall for a long time. Regulation of crypto coupled with Tether being a fraudster's den.
You had warning shots: STABLE act, self-hosted wallet KYC, NYAG lawsuit. You had bombshell revelations of money laundering.
NOBODY LISTENED BECAUSE NUMBER WAS GOING UP.
Read 5 tweets
21 Jan
My yesterday's post about Grayscale and BlockFi got some interesting and valid criticism, and it's really worth taking a deeper dive into the GBTC premium arbitrage trade.
The main counter-argument is, "there's a premium for valid reasons, and people are taking advantage of it".
There are indeed good reasons for a premium. GBTC allows to get exposure to BTC while saving on taxes because you can put it into your IRA. It's much easier than buying Bitcoin on exchanges (although Paypal has changed that equation). So people accept to buy $BTC at 20% premium.
My exact argument was, you can't take advantage of the premium because there's no liquidity - the moment you try to cash out your shares witch you got by subscribing at NAV, the premium collapses. The counter-argument is, "really A LOT of people buying GBTC so there's liquidity".
Read 15 tweets
20 Jan
About the "Greyscale is buying up all the Bitcoin" meme.
(shoutout to @fidelitas_lex for pointing this out).

Most of Greyscale's new subscriptions are in-kind - nobody's buying anything with real cash. People are transferring their Bitcoins to GS, and getting shares in return.
Why would anyone do that, knowing that GS charges a 2% yearly management fee? What happened to "be your own bank"?
The answer is simple: GS shares are trading at a premium, so by transferring your Bitcoins in exchange for shares you're making an instant paper gain.
BlockFi is one of the biggest holders of GS shares. BlockFi is also one of the go-to guys if you want to "earn interest on your Bitcoin" - as high as 8%. Where does that 8% interest come from? From the Greyscale share premium. You lend Bitcoin to BF, they exchange for GS shares.
Read 6 tweets

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