“The Estonian Foreign Intelligence Service has released an annual report on the growing likelihood of Russian troops attacking Ukraine and the Baltic states through Belarus.”
“According to Estonian intelligence, as a result of the 2020 political crisis, Belarus has become a military district of Russia, and now this "Belarusian military district" poses an immediate threat to its closest neighbors with NATO.”
“Estonian intelligence believes that the attack of Russian troops on Ukraine and the Baltic countries through the territory of Belarus from a potential threat becomes real.”
“The report says that the next Russian-Belarusian military exercise "West" is to take place this year, and Alexander Lukashenko's strength will increasingly depend on Russia's support, including in the military sphere.”
• • •
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As we near the end of this decade, I’d like to roll back the clock and revisit some of the scarier incidents we saw unfold over these past 10 years; specifically those that put global peace & stability at major risk.
The following list is in no particular order of importance...
1 —> [23:11:10]
Event: Bombardment of Yeonpyeong
Significance: Most violent violation of the armistice in post-war history. Both parties involved had moved dangerously high up the escalation ladder in a very short window of time.
Personal Note: Fire and Furbies.
2 —> [24:11:15]
Event: 2015 Russian Sukhoi Su-24 shootdown
Significance: First NATO targeting of a Russian craft since the Korean War. Period in relations that immediately followed was tensest in recent memory.
Personal Note: Russia never talked to Turkey again, right?