1/ Cathie was one of the two $tsla bulls on a “Tesla debate“ panel at the 2018 Robinhood Conference (no, not that Robin Hood). Gordon Johnson & I were the bears. Looking Cathie in the eye on that occasion, I couldn’t decide whether she was crazy or merely cynical.
2/ At the time, I thought Cathie’s Tesla target price of $4000 per share was insane. How wrong I was. Her target was not insane. The market was insane.
3/ But ask yourself: Who benefited from this insanity? Who fed it? With what motives? With what absurd projections and models? With what endless cynicism?
4/ The Cathie Woods of the world will be just fine. Just as the Ross Gerbers will be. Those who suffer will be the millions of hard workers whose retirement accounts are, unbeknownst to them, invested in market index funds which will pay a heavy price for the endless Tesla fraud.
5/ But make no mistake. None of this could’ve happened without Cathie’s cynicism. None of this could’ve happened without Ross’s even greater cynicism. None of this could’ve happened without Bloomberg’s endlessly idiotic reporting.
6/ Bloomberg is far from alone. The ascent of Tesla, and the beatification of Elon Musk, is a testament to the idiocy of our mass media, including our business mass media. Damn them all.
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1/ The analysts think $TSLA will sell some 820k (+ or - 50k) cars in 2021, with more than 80% of the growth coming in China. MaxedOutMama & I say otherwise:
2/ Much of this article is the summation of a data-dense, fact-intensive blog post by MaxedOutMama. It's another superb piece of work by her. In a just world, she would have more followers than I do.
3/ There's also some detail about an intriguing new lawsuit alleging serious misbehavior by $TSLA regarding OTA updates to disguise battery degradation & evade warranty obligations. Thanks to @PlainSite for making the federal court complaint readily available.
1/ The last time Elon Musk faced a defamation claim, he richly deserved to lose. He smeared a true hero, Vernon Unsworth, calling him a pedophile. Some might suspect projection on Musk's part...
2/ Unfortunately, Unsworth hired L. Lin Wood (I'm now blocked by Wood, but his Twitter handle is @LLinWood).
The choice was not illogical. Wood had settled many high-profile defamation cases, though it appeared he tried few, if any.
3/ Wood's work in pretrial briefing and discovery was impressive. He survived various efforts to dismiss the case, and developed a powerful body of evidence for trial.
First, production. According to Tesla on 7/22/20, its quarterly capacity is now somewhere between 172,500 & 197,500.
2/ However, in no quarter this year has Tesla achieved even the low end of capacity.
Q3 is best so far, at between 84% and 73% of capacity, depending upon whether Tesla has, as it stated in its July 22 update, extended Fremont 3/Y capacity to 500k.
3/ Now, deliveries. Having guided to 500k for 2020, Tesla in Q3 achieved a delivery number exceeding the 125k/quarter needed.
However, the Q3 delivery number amounts to between 81% and 71% of installed capacity, again depending on whether Fremont is now at 500k 3/Y.
1/ A thread on $TSLA & $NKLA. Why one scam skates free of regulatory scrutiny while the other one comes under heavy governmental fire.
And why Tesla stock now soars higher than ever.
I'll outline two explanations, both of which were suggested to me by a friend.
2/ First, there can be only One True Church. One True Religion. One True Savior. The heretics must be stamped out. Read about how the Catholics dealt with Arianism; how Magisterial Protestants treated Anabaptists; how Sunnis handle Shiites (& vice versa). So many examples.
3/ Or, in the ideological sphere, where the warring factions seem to share most views, but attempt to exterminate each other: Stalinists v. Trotskyites; Bolsheviks v. Mensheviks. Many other examples.