Mangy Jay Profile picture
26 Feb, 7 tweets, 2 min read
The structure of the Senate gives disproportionate power to a minority of the population. This minority happens to be represented by economically & socially regressive people. There is no reason to preserve Senate rules that further exacerbate this power imbalance (filibuster).
That said, Manchin & Sinema won't support abolishing the filibuster (though perhaps they could support "reform?"). Hopefully they can be convinced to change their minds, but they're not there yet. So, the only option Dems have *right now* for COVID relief is reconciliation.
reconciliation requires that provisions in a bill meet the Byrd rule. Democrats did the right thing in trying to get the minimum wage through, though it was always a strong possibility the parlimentarian would rule it didn't meet the rules.
I think the next steps are for Dems to try to get the rest of the bill through using reconciliation. Lean hard on Sinema & Manchin on the filibuster & use the minimum wage to do so. Lean on the whole senate to raise the min wage in a separate bill. Make a lot of noise about it.
Overall, most of our anger is best directed at the GOP. If you are mad about the filibuster, blame Manchin & Sinema. If you want the VP to override the parlimentarian, yell at Biden and/or Schumer. Harris isn't going to make the decision here.
Also, I see a lot of people making the argument that we should screw reconciliation as a process here & just pressure Manchin & Sinema on the filibuster. I don't personally think we should draw out COVID relief on this bet. It's too urgent.
Yeah, this is a good point. Manchin & Sinema haven't been on board w/ $15 and they will definitely not be on board w/ overriding the parlimentarian, which will then result in all kinds of irritating "moderate" posturing.

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More from @magi_jay

27 Feb
These allegations are well-corroborated and fit a pattern of alleged behavior. I think Cuomo should resign.
If he's gonna wait for an investigation, ok. But I don't see how an investigation is going to show something different than we've already seen. There are contemporaneous text messages about his behavior.
Look, I liked Cuomo during the initial stages of the pandemic too, though it looks like he mishandled several things (nursing homes) in retrospect. But my primary concern here is to principles re: sexual misconduct + the fact that I don't want the Dem party to have this baggage.
Read 5 tweets
27 Feb
I don't know if the CPAC stage being an exact replica of SS insignia was a mistake, but I would like to say: 1. they should explain it & 2. they lost their plausible deniability card a while ago. We're talking about people who made the "ok" sign into a white power symbol ImageImage
Again, could it be a mistake? Even with the exact same serifs? Sure. But I don't want to hear one peep about "liberals see racism in everything!" from the folks who adore a guy who literally said, "Some of them are good people" about men who shouted, "Jews will not replace us."
If liberals see racism & anti-semitism in everything the GOP does it's b/c much of what they do is racist & anti-semitic. You can't be like, "Oh, soooo hysterical" when you elect people to Congress who believe Jewish people are directing a global cabal whose members eat babies
Read 6 tweets
27 Feb
Collins, Murkowski, Manchin & Sinema occupy the political center, but I think there's a distinction btwn their motivations. Collins & Murkowski feel pressure to demonstrate allegiance to the GOP, whereas Manchin & Sinema feel they must demonstrate independence from their party
This results in a situation where any 1 of these 4 is a potential swing vote. But, in the case of Collins & Murkowski, we have to convince them that it's worth it to break w/ their party, whereas, in the case of Manchin & Sinema, we have to convince them it's worth staying united
In the case of Manchin & Sinema, I think in some cases they are responding to real external pressure (voters in tough states) &, in many other cases, I think they're acting on manufactured pressure they've either imagined or has been inflated by conservatives and/or the press.
Read 9 tweets
25 Feb
HIV/AIDS didn't just decimate the LGBTQ community in terms of mass death. The bigoted stigma attached to it-in addition to generalized bigotry-made it almost impossible to come out. I am an older millennial & I remember being taught that it was ok to share air w/ an HIV+ person
I don't think that cishet people reflect enough on just what that meant for all LGBTQ people. First, one was already considered as deviant or a sinner by the dominant culture. Abused by parents & employers. It was nearly impossible to be fully "out." And then came HIV/AIDS.
I remember as a kid in the 90's, there was a deep, bigoted entanglement between being gay & AIDS in US culture. There was little compassion &, if it occurred, it was in whispers. There was also a distinction btwn AIDS victims who "deserved" it (gay men) vs. others (hemophiliacs)
Read 4 tweets
24 Feb
1. This table shows a trend in which more people in younger generations self-id as "lesbian" or "trans" than in previous generations
2. The categories of "trans" and "lesbian" are not mutually exclusive & should not be compared as such, either by @GallupNews or by other analysts
A seemingly minor quibble but one which I think is important: Greenwald's description of these data makes them sound longitudinal, when they are in fact cross-sectional. The sample is from diff generations w/in a single moment of time, which is diff from showing change over time
If you accurately describe the cross-sectional data, you would say you saw a btwn-generation diff in self-id, such that more people id'd as "Lesbian" or "trans" in younger generations. Again, tho, we need to know if @GallupNews inaccurately treated "trans" as sexual orientation
Read 4 tweets
24 Feb
I agree with taking this conversation in this direction. We really need to be honest about the options & how to do the best possible job by unaccompanied minors. We can all agree, I think, that no child should be deported. So what's the next step to ensure they are safe & fed?
I think that, between letting them be homeless or being placed in a government facility while awaiting a guardian, the latter is the more humane option. But are there other options? Beefing up the potential for foster care, for example? Or would that be more problematic?
Another thing I think we should discuss is, even if we agree placing them in gov't care is the best option (out of several bad ones), how can we provide for them in the safest way possible and reduce aspects of "detention" while maximizing aspects of "care?"
Read 13 tweets

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