Not exactly a critical component to a statewide victory as it accounted for just 0.74% of the statewide vote in 2020, but Biden made notable gains in what are essentially the two DFL bases in the county (The Red Lake Reservation and Bemidji) to shift the county by 6.6 points
Bemidji itself (which Biden carried 53.3-42.2) accounted for 29.37% of the countywide Presidential vote in 2020. If you add the 5 precincts that make up the Lower Red Lake Unorganized Territory (which Biden carried 94.1-3.7) you account for 38.9% of the county-wide vote.
Biden over-performed Smith who lost the county by 6 points after narrowly carrying the county in 2018.
The key to Biden's over performance was getting a better margin out of Lower Red Lake and Bemidji. Smith made up some of that deficit in the townships, but still lost those by quite a bit.
Comparing Biden to Clinton, his movement from Clinton +84.1 to Biden +90.4 in Lower Red Lake is notable, but even more notable is his improvement from Trump +1.8 to Biden +10.1 in Bemidji. Between the two, that netted Biden an extra 1,426 votes vs Clinton 2016.
In 2020, Trump only netted 762 votes in the county instead of the 2,095 he netted in 2016. A relatively small drop in the bucket in a state that cast nearly 3.3 million votes in 2020, but it does add up when you do this in a lot of counties.
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I’m just not sure on what planet they think they have the votes in either committee or on the floor. Right now it really seems like there are probably 53 votes against her.
What is sinking her nomination is that the opposition stretches across a unified right, a chunk of the center and then part of the hard left. Really hard to cobble together a confirmation facing three pronged opposition like that.
If you had Bernie Sanders and Kyrsten Sinema on board, the two committees would have held the vote last week rather than postponing it at the last minute and it would be moving to the floor with pressure being put on Murkowski as the swing vote.
Hawley has been trying to wrap himself in Trump as much as possible and vote against Biden more than any other Republican Senator. Despite that, CPAC’s totally non-predictive Straw Poll sans Trump gives Hawley a whole 3%. He’s not exactly catching fire w/ the base he is courting.
We went through this in 2019 with Gillibrand in particular on the left. She didn’t really gain anything by voting against every nominee. Hawley banking that the reward on the right will be greater, but thus far we haven’t really seen much evidence for that.
Even Cotton and Cruz have each backed at least one Biden nomination out of the 10 for the Senate has voted on final confirmation. (Counting Greenfield’s 2 votes as 1) Even Cotton has backed 3 (Austin, Vilsack and Haines).
Almost hilarious how much this pops up considering how easy it is to disprove with a quick glance at the ship’s manifest (for fun, the cargo’s net worth in today’s money would be $11.1 million) encyclopedia-titanica.org/cargo-manifest…
But just in cast you are disapponted in the lack of a mummy: the ship’s manifest does list 76 cases of dragon's blood belonging to Brown Brothers & Company which was an investment bank. Why exactly they were shipping dragon’s blood though is beyond me... 🤷🏼♂️
Hate to disappoint but I have an answer now here too: Dragon’s Blood is a resin which makes sense as they were also shipping gum on the same manifest.
Another tale of an affluent MN suburb moving left in the Trump era: #SD53. Obama +4.7 to Clinton +12.5 to Biden +21.5. Went from being ~3 points to the right of the state in 2012 to over 14 points to the left in 2020.
#SD53 was considerably wider in 2020 than 2016, but still ran well behind the top of the ticket.
In all but Oakdale P-1 and Landfall did Biden run ahead of Kent. The GOP ran a former Mayor of Woodbury which makes up a lot of the district and probably helped narrow at least part of the margin.