On #27Feb2019 0950-1015h 2 x Su30MKI of No15 Sqn @IAF_MCC C/S #Avenger duelled with 8 x F16MLU of CCS/No9 Sqn PAF during #OpSwiftRetort . Evidence shows that PAF launched 4+ AMRAAMs against the Sukhois during this engagement. What is less known is how the MKIs counterattacked 1/n
The North Group of 4 F-16s OCA engaged the Su30 DCA in HOT/COLD Grind, gradually pushing for the LoC. The North Group fired 3 AMRAAAMs against the IAF jets. All missed. The IAF jets pushed bck, also picking up the South Group OCA of 4 x F16s & multiple inbound strike aircraft 2/n 
Interestingly a 4th AMRAAM ws fired by the South Group on course of 030-035. This when plotted on the map basis the position of the South Group (SG), clearly puts the IAF aircraft at a distance of 25-30 km from the North Group (NG) PAF jets. Very interesting deductions here 3/n
Its clear from the evidence that IAF’s Avenger 1/2 counterattacked ignoring the high density BVR threat from the F-16s, in all probability breaching the AMRAAM MAR to press home the R27/77 attack 25-30 km from lead PAF jets in the North Group. This hd consequences for the PAF 4/n
Under threat fm the unexpected move of the IAF jets, the lead NG F-16 pair went COLD prematurely even when they cud hve launched agnst Avenger 1 who was HOT. Hassan Siddiqui in SG launched the 4th AMRAAM to target Avenger 1. Though a touch & go, the IAF jet escaped this AAM 5/n
Now let’s focus on probable consequences of this push by Avenger formation. At least 10 outta 12 payloads launched by the PAF fell well outta range of their intended targets. It is exactly for this reason that PAF nvr showed more films of their attks. So what happened there? 6/n
It is highly possible that these payloads were dropped out of their desired envelope. Did these hurried drops by PAF were due to the dash of the Avenger formation towards the LoC? A high degree of probability there when we consider the payload landings between 1000-1005h 7/n
The IAF’s Avenger formation fought back with grit and determination against a much larger PAF F-16 OCA. Inspite of precise timing and numerical superiority of #SwiftRetort, not everything went PAF’s way as fighter pilots fm both sides tested their mettle in the sky that day 8/8
The PAF jets clinically kept themselves safe fm the IAF AAMs and their known engagement envelopes. The dash of the Sukhois was something which may have taken the PAF by surprise, hence the various possibilities as enumerated above. Lessons for both sides from this BVR encounter
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