There are lots of DID experts on here. Dare I go there?

For the T = 2 panel data before/after, we know that linear two-way FE is the same as the DID regression

y on 1, treat, post, treat*post

If y is binary, we should not try "probit fixed effects" -- incidental parameters.
But to estimate ATT, we can also use

gen w = treat*post
probit y treat post i.w, vce(cluster id)
margins, dydx(w)

And we know it's important to use margins in this way. Do not use i.treat#.lpost and compute margins WRT treat.
The above probit is what the Chamberlain correlated RE probit delivers.

As is well known due to Athey & Imbens, the parallel trend assumption is different if we use a linear model versus probit or logit or cloglog or ....
Using several binary response functional forms in place of linear and probit is a crude way of essentially finding bounds on the ATT.

All fit the data equally well. It's saturated, and so all fitted probabilities are the same. But the estimated ATTs can be very different.

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More from @jmwooldridge

28 Feb
I've become a believer in always reporting "robust" standard errors. This may seem obvious, but there are nuances. And I'm not talking indiscriminate clustering -- I'll comment on that at some point. Let's start with random sampling from a cross section.

#metricstotheface
We know to use heteroskedasticity-robust standard errors for linear regression automatically. For two reasons:

1. Var(y|x) might depend on x.
2. E(y|x) is wrong and we are only estimating the LP.

Both cause heteroskedasticity.

#metricstotheface
We've discussed quasi-MLE, such as fractional logit and Poisson regression. If E(y|x) is correct, we want standard errors robust to general variance misspecification.

#metricstotheface
Read 9 tweets
27 Feb
Based on questions I get, it seems there's confusion about choosing between RE and FE in panel data applications. I'm afraid I've contributed. The impression seems to be that if RE "passes" a suitable Hausman test then it should be used. This is false.
I'm trying to emphasize in my teaching that using RE (unless CRE = FE) is an act of desperation. If the FE estimates and the clustered standard errors are "good" (intentionally vague), there's no need to consider RE.
RE is considered when the FE estimates are too imprecise to do much with. With good controls -- say, industry dummies in a firm-level equation -- one might get by with RE. And then choosing between RE and FE makes some sense.
Read 6 tweets
26 Feb
So we agree that, provided y is the variable of interest -- not censored -- a linear model estimated by OLS is a good starting point. But other functional forms can be better, such as logistic if y is binary or fractional, exponential if y is nonnegative.
In many cases one should include the covariates flexibly -- such as squares and interactions. This is especially true in treatment effect contexts. If w is the treatment, interact it with the controls when estimating the average treatment effect.
As @TymonSloczynski showed in his elegant 2020 REStat paper, if d is the treatment, just adding x as in the regression y on d, x can produce a badly biased estimate of the ATE. Interacting d and elements of x is generally better. Same is true for nonlinear regression adjustment.
Read 5 tweets

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