Even if you believe true career destruction is still a rarity (I wouldn't), the mere threat of it leads to a much broader dynamic: You certainly *can* voice opinions outside the orthodoxy on certain subjects, but to do it, you pretty much have to make a career of it.
That very high cost of entry — which applies to anyone hoping for a sustained presence in public life — distorts the intellectual marketplace in ways that entrench conformist, pitchbot-predictable takes on left and right alike.
*(I don't), nerts.
This is another reason that Amazon pulling @RyanTAnd's book is so galling and worrisome. You are not going to find a more philosophically serious skeptical view of e.g. puberty blockers for children than he can offer.
It's true that Ryan's book was not actually censored. One retailer — as it happens, the most powerful one in the world — just decided not to carry it. But the risks to publishers and authors of publishing a book like his just went way up. So who's going to accept them now?
Probably a lot fewer of the kinds of thinkers we want in a more sane public life, and a lot more of the kinds we don't.
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Abbott ending business restrictions can surely be argued, but there’s just no good substantive reason to end the mask mandate, unless accompanied by clear messaging that it’s still a strongly urged voluntary measure until herd immunity is reached.
Lockdowns are brutal; masks are just annoying. Even given uncertainty, the probable benefit-to-cost ratio is better than perhaps any other measure except vaccines. It’s stupid to participate in tribalizing it, which Abbott seems to be doing.
Much of the public health community now sees its purpose as achieving a capacious, daily-shifting definition of justice more than as healing medical illness. It either refuses to see that one can conflict with the other, or does but considers this a sign of devotion to the cause.
"We made a world-historic breakthrough silver-bullet vaccine? Say, this seems like a good opportunity to settle some scores."
Purely my gut sense, but I think most people are floored by the collapse of government's ability to handle the most basic collective-action functions and will support whoever can plausibly claim to get the trains running on time, whatever ideological banner they're flying.
Although I'm not hearing that message from Dems, somehow I suspect that the "this is all AOC's fault" message isn't going to do the trick either.
Reading between the lines of the very limited info coming out of @ERCOT_ISO, it sounds like they may well expect substantial capacity restoration not to come until generating stations see full thaw from the weather, which could be Friday or Saturday.
I say this because most info about the outage focuses on generators knocked offline by weather. Not clear whether that's just freezing temps or ice and snow. But there's no discussion of how generators will come back during freeze, and lots of warning about further cold weather.
So ... it sure sounds like the @ERCOT_ISO is saying its hands are largely tied until weather improves, which I imagine means gets and stays substantially enough above freezing for equipment to unfreeze and perhaps be repaired. And here's the forecast.
Totally unsurprising that they're extending the predicted outage. The info provided has offered little reason to support the prediction that power would come back on this afternoon — and not much reason to be confident it'll be back tomorrow either.
Most of the communications coming out of @austinenergy and @ERCOT_ISO are simple expectations-management, buck-passing, and obfuscation. No meaningful info on when residents might have power again.
It's almost inevitable now that some of the millions of Texans without heat will die in their homes. @ERCOT_ISO and local utilities offered no warning this might happen and continue to play a "could be back on soon, maybe" game instead of leveling about how bad it may yet get.