At long last, the @2020Partnership is excited to release “The Long Fuse: Misinformation and the 2020 Election,” the culmination of months of work among approximately 120 people working across 4 organizations: @stanfordio@uwcip @Grapika_NYC and @DFRLab eipartnership.net/report
We had 3 primary goals: 1. Identify mis- and disinformation before it went viral and during viral outbreaks; 2. Share clear, accurate counter messaging; and 3. Increase understanding of the dynamics shaping the information space during the 2020 US election and its aftermath.
Our final report expands upon the EIP’s rapid-response research and policy analysis surrounding the 2020 election and details how misleading narratives and false claims about voting coalesced into the metanarrative of a “stolen election.”
Among our key findings: 1. Misleading and false claims and narratives coalesced into the metanarrative of a “stolen election,” which later propelled the Jan. 6, 2021 insurrection.
2. Narrative spread was cross-platform: repeat spreaders leveraged the specific features of each platform for maximum amplification.
3. The primary repeat spreaders of false and misleading narratives were verified, blue-check accounts belonging to partisan media outlets, social media influencers, and political figures, including President Trump and his family.
4. Many platforms expanded their election-related policies during the 2020 election cycle. However, application of moderation policies was inconsistent or unclear.
1/ Earlier this week Steve Cortes, a senior advisor to the Trump campaign, posted a series of four videos and an op-ed in which he claims to have uncovered statistical evidence that delegitimizes Biden’s win. These claims are based on recycled, debunked disinformation.
2/ His first argument is that Wisconsin’s turnout was improbably high. This was debunked on November 5th. The number cited (>90%) was incorrect. Actual turnout was 72.3%, based on the percentage of eligible voters who cast a ballot.
3/ The 2nd argument asserts that Biden’s 2020 vote share “improbably” outperformed Obama’s 2012 votes in some areas. This is cherry-picking; any number of locations had large swings towards either candidate due to a range of expected factors. washingtonpost.com/graphics/2020/…
False claims have been circulating that Dominion Voting Systems is responsible for widespread election errors. There is no evidence to support these claims, which use isolated incidents to allege malfeasance. Voting across the country remains a secure and auditable process. (1/5)
In Antrim County, MI, an error resulted in wrongly reported election results which were quickly corrected. As stated by the Michigan Secretary of State, the error was a result of “user human error” and not a software glitch. (2/5)
Likewise, in two counties in Georgia, errors occurred encoding voter access cards in electronic poll books used for voting machines. These errors were likewise quickly resolved and did not interfere in the voting process. (3/5)
As the ballot count drags on, a series of unfounded narratives have proliferated on social media platforms. A recent viral allegation about dead or implausibly old voters in battleground states has gained traction.
2/ These posts typically share screenshots of Secretary of State voter rolls side-by-side with the birthdate of the alleged voter to prove that their vote was counted, despite the improbability that a voter could still be alive if they were born well-over a century ago.
3/ Despite both the @MichSoS and @PAStateDept refuting these claims, it has permeated throughout partisan circles as the President’s team files lawsuits in PA, GA, MI, NV to challenge the counting of ballots they allege belong to deceased voters.
We have observed false claims that “real” ballots have so-called “non-radioactive” isotope watermarks on them. Watermarks can be on mail-in ballots, but that does not mean they are used to target voters maliciously or as a method to conduct election fraud. [1/6]
Depending on which state you voted in, your ballot may have a watermark. Ballots are printed with watermarks to help with authentication. Watermarks distinguish official ballots from potentially counterfeit ballots. [2/6] sos.ca.gov/administration…
Several fact checkers have already debunked claims about “non-radioactive” isotope watermarks. [3/6] factcheck.org/2020/11/bogus-…
1/ A new Project Veritas video is spreading on social media with an alleged whistleblower from Traverse City, Michigan. There is no evidence to support the claims made in the video. Elections and the vote counting process in Michigan continue to be safe and secure.
2/ The video features a “whistleblower” purported to work at the Barlow Branch USPS in Traverse City. He claims that the morning of 11/4, he and colleagues received a directive from a supervisor to postmark ballots with the previous date, 11/3. This remains unverified.
3/ These claims have gone viral in large part due to conservative influencers on Twitter, including Donald Trump Jr., James O’Keefe (Project Veritas’s founder), Mike Coudrey (a conservative investor), and Tom Fitton (Judicial Watch’s president and a pro-Trump activist).