Mary Duenwald, a Bloomberg Opinion editor, tested positive for Covid-19 even after receiving both doses of the Pfizer vaccine.

How is that possible? trib.al/UWYi5In
“The reality is that so-called sterilizing immunity, or protection that completely blocks a virus from infecting you, is rare. In fact, only one vaccine has been proven to provide that, and that is the smallpox shot,” @SamFazeli8 told Duenwald trib.al/UWYi5In
In trials, the Pfizer and Moderna vaccines were 95% effective. But some people developed symptoms after the second dose.

It’s also possible that Duenwald was infected with a new variant, which may have been better at getting past her antibody immunity trib.al/UWYi5In
Yet her symptoms are mild, as if it were just a cold. Can she assume the shot is still protecting her?

Fazeli says of course, “you will never know how bad your symptoms would have been if you had not been vaccinated, but they could have been much worse" trib.al/UWYi5In
The main purpose of vaccines is to keep people out of the hospital and lower their risk of dying.

Even vaccines with lower efficacy against mild and moderate disease, such as Johnson & Johnson’s shot, show better efficacy against severe illness trib.al/UWYi5In
Does being vaccinated mean Duenwald is less likely to transmit the virus to someone else?

Early data suggest that is the case, but we need to see the data on asymptomatic infections at six months and a year after the second dose to have a better idea trib.al/UWYi5In
So how safe should a vaccinated person feel?

Vaccinated people should feel safe until the data show otherwise. Currently, very few people are showing severe infections after being vaccinated, and that’s a good thing trib.al/UWYi5In
What kind of measures do vaccinated people still need to take, especially around the unvaccinated?

As there are people out there who are not vaccinated, it is best to continue with masking and distancing — for their sake trib.al/UWYi5In

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More from @bopinion

6 Mar
The death toll from Covid-19 has been compared to deaths from:

➡️Seasonal influenza
➡️War
➡️Heart disease
➡️Car accidents
➡️Swimming-pool drownings

Here’s how they compare after nearly a year of the coronavirus trib.al/WNSB44S
At 500,000 and counting, U.S. Covid fatalities are now far higher than annual deaths from most of those other things.

They’re also higher than any short-term infectious outbreak since 1918, when around 675,000 people died — equivalent to 2.2 million today trib.al/WNSB44S Image
The overall number isn’t the whole story. 81% of U.S. Covid fatalities have been people aged 65+.

There’s nothing unusual about this age profile — the different age groups’ share of Covid deaths is strikingly similar to their share of deaths, period trib.al/WNSB44S Image
Read 14 tweets
28 Feb
As the U.S. passes the half-million mark on Covid-19 deaths, it may seem unsurprising that life expectancy, in the first half of 2020, dropped by an entire year.

But shrinking American longevity is startling for reasons that extend beyond the pandemic trib.al/yWlUW6X
Life expectancy estimates based on mortality patterns from January - June 2020 show a decline in life expectancy at birth, compared to 2019:

📉1.2 years for males
📉0.9 years for females

And it was worse for Black Americans:

📉3 years
📉2.3 years trib.al/yWlUW6X
These declines stand to grow larger when the full-year data become available, because deaths from Covid-19 nearly doubled in the second half of 2020:

📆125,000 deaths from Jan. to June
📆Almost 250,000 from July to Dec trib.al/yWlUW6X
Read 10 tweets
27 Feb
Covid couldn’t have come at a worse time for Gen Z. They’re either:

📃In the crucial exam years of their education
💼Taking those first steps into the working world

Either way, they appear to be stuffed bloom.bg/3dSuNfC
Research suggests that those unlucky enough to start careers in a recession see:

🎓Lower earnings for 10 to 15 years after graduation
💔Higher divorce rates
⚰️Shorter lifespans bloom.bg/3dSuNfC
In the U.S., a 3.9 percentage point increase in the unemployment rate at job market entry has been found to decrease life expectancy by about 6 to 9 months.

For the Class of 2020, that could translate into a shortened life span of 1 to 1.5 years bloom.bg/3dSuNfC
Read 12 tweets
26 Feb
When the country began closing down last March, it was clear that food supply chains would be severely tested.

But nobody predicted that we’d run out of Grape-Nuts trib.al/eMfXm5K
Grape-Nuts ran out in early December, and won’t be back at full capacity until mid-March. Other cereals have also been hit by capacity and supply constraints:

🥣Cheerios
🌽Corn Flakes
❄️Frosted Flakes
🍯Honeycomb trib.al/eMfXm5K
The past year has been weird for the breakfast-cereal industry. Not bad -- sales were up.

But for companies that were used to decline, or at least stagnation, the sudden increase in demand was a shock. So, do Americans really love cereal again? trib.al/eMfXm5K
Read 12 tweets
25 Feb
In October 1999, 5 months before the internet bubble burst, @opinion_joe wrote a cover story for Fortune magazine titled “Trader Nation.”

It was about how Americans were embracing the stock market, with some even quitting their jobs to become day traders trib.al/t0aIgaQ
Two decades later, Nocera is interviewing the same individuals again to find out how living through a stock bubble can affect investors for the rest of their lives trib.al/t0aIgaQ
The original Fortune article was set in Providence, R.I., where residents were getting caught up in the stock market.

Even the mayor, Vincent “Buddy” Cianci, was addicted to the market during the dot-com bubble trib.al/t0aIgaQ
Read 8 tweets
24 Feb
✨Pop quiz: Did the U.S. retire more coal plants during the Trump administration, or during the last four years of Obama?

trib.al/dzkD45b
Surprise! As much as Trump promoted fossil fuels, more coal was retired under his watch than during Obama's last four years.

The lesson: When it comes to clean energy, never underestimate the power of state and local leadership — and market forces trib.al/dzkD45b
Fun fact: The U.S. is actually within striking distance of reaching the goal it set under the Paris climate agreement, a 26% to 28% reduction in emission levels by 2025.

In fact, local and state leadership alone could take us to 37% by 2030 trib.al/dzkD45b Image
Read 9 tweets

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