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Cornelius Roemer Profile picture
@CorneliusRoemer
Mar 9, 2021 • 11 tweets • 7 min read • Read on X
Verheerend. Jede Verwaltungsstufe weicht die #MPK-Beschlüsse jeweils weiter auf.
Beispiel #Calw:
Dort liegt die Inzidenz laut @risklayer bei 57,2 mit R=1,07
Dennoch öffnen heute die Läden.
Wie bitte? Bei Inzidenz über 50?
Ja! Der Landkreis massiert einfach die Zahlen.
Thread 🧵⬇️ Image
Landrat Riegger (@CDU_BW) zeigt Trumpsche Züge wenn er sagt:
Wenn ihm die Landesverordnung eine Möglichkeit gebe, den Einzelhändlern im Landkreis eine Perspektive zu geben, dann wolle er diese Möglichkeit nutzen "Ansonsten werde ich selber eine Möglichkeit suchen." Image
Es werden einfach so viele Ausbrüche als "klar begrenzt" herausgerechnet, bis die Zahl passt.
Dies geschah offenbar nicht unabhängig auf Initiative des Gesundheitsamts, sonder auf politische Anordnung.
Ist das überhaupt legal? Lässt die Verordnung das zu wie Riegger behauptet?
Das sollten sich Verwaltungsrechtler genau ansehen.
In der Verordnung steht:
"Bei der Bewertung der Inzidenzwerte kann das Gesundheitsamt die Diffusität des Infektionsgeschehens angemessen berücksichtigen."
In meinen Augen heißt Bewertung nicht, dass man 40% herausrechnen kann. Image
Man könnte also hier möglicherweise eine Verwaltungsklage gegen den Landkreis einreichen.
Wie kommt es überhaupt zu diesem Absatz? Im #MPK-Beschluss kam das Wort "diffus" nicht ein einziges Mal vor.
Es kam also auf Initiative der @RegierungBW in die BW-Verordnung (§ 20)
Hier muss politisch Druck gemacht werden.
Es kann nicht sein, dass Populisten wie Riegger sich wie Könige verhalten und nach Gutdünken öffnen, obwohl die #MPK klare Beschlüsse gefasst hat.
Das ist eine hochgradige Missachtung demokratischer Prinzipien.
Durch diese Taten gefährdet Landrat Riegger nicht nur die Bevölkerung seines Landkreises sondern die der umliegenden Regionen. Und diese haben keinerlei Möglichkeit ihn abzuwählen, sondern können lediglich bei der Landtagswahl nicht CDU zu wählen.
Die @RegierungBW hat eine Verordnung erlassen, die mal wieder Verantwortung delegiert und damit selbstgefälligen Landräten populistische Maßnahmen ermöglicht.
Dafür gehört sie bei der Landtagswahl abgestraft.
Verordnung: baden-wuerttemberg.de/de/service/akt…
Für die Faktenchecker unter euch, hier ein paar Artikel
pz-news.de/region_artikel…
die-neue-welle.de/display-news/c…
schwarzwaelder-bote.de/inhalt.calw-ri…
schwarzwaelder-bote.de/inhalt.neubewe…
Eine Online-Ausstellung für alle Landräte, die lockern wollen.
Bitte vor dem Beschluss durchsehen, mindestens 10 Minuten.
Wer weitere Beispiele aus anderen Landkreisen hat, bitte drunter kommentieren mit Quelle!
Viele Journalisten nutzen diesen Thread für Recherche!
@tonline @zeitonline @SZ @Tagesspiegel @tazgezwitscher @derspiegel @faznet @StZ_NEWS @RND_de

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More from @CorneliusRoemer

Cornelius Roemer Profile picture
Aug 21, 2023
Here are counts of BA.2.86 and overall sequence submissions to GISAID
Note that the English sample included in week 2023-08-07 likely got expedited, so it may be best to exclude from this analysis. 1/ Image
In my very rough reading, there's not enough data yet to pin down growth advantage. It could be small or non-existent, or it could be sizeable, e.g. doubling every week.
Bear in mind that due to constant antigenic drift, there are always lineages with decent growth advantage. 2/
To really have an impact, BA.2.86 would have to become dominant, outgrowing even the fittest lineages around, e.g. HK.3 (EG.5.1 with S:L455F) or FL.1.5.1 (456L, 478R) which themselves are doubling in share about every two weeks. 3/
Read 14 tweets
Cornelius Roemer Profile picture
Aug 11, 2023
EG.5 (and EG.5.1) has recently got attention due to being highlighted by @UKHSA and @WHO.
EG.5, which is an alias for XBB.1.9.2.5, is a sublineage of XBB characterized in particular by Spike RBD mutation F456L. 1/
EG.5 is one of the fastest growing XBB sublineages, particularly common in China where it appears to be dominant.
As EG.5 has only one RBD difference compared to the upcoming vaccine strain XBB.1.5 vaccine protection is expected to be good. 2/
While the name EG.5 may sound very different from XBB, it is important to know that this is just due to naming - EG.5 is the short form of XBB.1.9.2.5. 3/
Read 8 tweets
Cornelius Roemer Profile picture
Apr 10, 2023
It appears that China has stopped uploading SARS-CoV-2 sequences to GISAID and now shares via its own version of Genbank: Genbase
github.com/yatisht/usher/…
I don't yet fully understand the terms under which China shares the sequences - I assume (and hope_ they are just as open as Genbank.
In that case this is a great development towards having as much SARS-CoV-2 data being free of usage restrictions as possible.
GISAID should still be able to integrate the data in their platform (unless the license prohibits it, if it's Genbank-like then GISAID can pull the data as they've done with Genbank-only published sequences).
Read 6 tweets
Cornelius Roemer Profile picture
Nov 28, 2022
I'm seeing quite a bit of discussion about the potential impact of a big wave in mainland China on variant evolution.
I do not think a big wave in mainland China would have major consequences outside of China. 1/
While China is a big country, it has less than 20% of the global population. The rate at which new variants evolve would only increase slightly as a result of fractionally more infections worldwide. 2/
We have by now seen multiple second generation BA.2 variants evolve independently: BA.4/5 in Southern Africa, BA.2.75 in South Asia, BA.2.3.20 in the Philippines, BS.1 in South East Asia. 3/
Read 9 tweets
Cornelius Roemer Profile picture
Oct 14, 2022
For straightforward problems, @github Copilot really rocks.
Yes, as a Python dev, I could code this up myself in less than a minute
But why spend mental energy on this if it can be auto-generated?
As a beginner, this could have easily taken me a few minutes. Now it's just seconds
And the only unnatural about this example is that I deleted the output generated by copilot before recording.
Everything else is exactly as it was when I did it.
Nothing contrived, very natural usage pattern.
It's hard to think of a better way of solving this problem.
Copilot chose a very pythonic solution.
There's a good chance handwritten solutions by many developers would be less idiomatic and more confusing.
Read 6 tweets
Cornelius Roemer Profile picture
Oct 13, 2022
BQ.1* and XBB have different geographic foci
BQ.1* is mostly in Africa, Europe and North America
XBB in South (East) Asia
3 countries with similar levels worth watching for comparison and potential co-circulation are:
- Japan
- Australia
- South Korea
cov-spectrum.org/explore/World/… 1/ ImageImageImage
BQ.1.1 and XBB have quite a lot of spike differences and seem to have similar growth advantages - this makes them candidates for co-circulation.
We may only be able to know once we see how the variants do in countries that had a wave with the other one. 2/
Here are the mutations that only occur in one of the two variants:
XBB only: S:V83A, S:Y144-, S:H146Q, S:Q183E, S:V213E, S:G339H, S:R346T, S:L368I, S:V445P, S:G446S, S:F486S, S:F490
BQ.1.1 only:
S:H69-, S:V70-, S:V213G, S:G339D, S:K444T, S:L452R, S:F486V 3/
Read 7 tweets

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