Thread by @AnalyticsQpr

Any reason to be nervous tonight? Shouldn’t be, given that @wwfcofficial are by some distance the worst team in the division. However there’s a sense that this is the sort of team we tend to struggle against... #QPR #QPRWYC

https://twitter.com/qpr/status/1369045261066985474

As of Week 35, @wwfcofficial have only scored 23 goals (and 4 of those were penalties). However, 35% of this meagre total were from set-pieces, significantly above the league average of 24%. So if there’s any threat, it’ll likely be from these #QPR #QPRWYC

Despite a massive improvement in our defending this season, @QPR still ship a decent share of goals from set pieces. But, is this enough to make anyone nervous? Against the worst team in the division? #QPR #QPRWYC

The chart below shows @QPR starting price from lowest (higher win probability) to highest (lower win probability). Green indicates a win, yellow for draw, and red for a loss. The @bet365 starting prices are as good as gauge as any in terms of showing an expected outcome #QPRWYC

Just from a visual perspective, you’d expect much more green towards the left hand side of the chart, as that would show that we win games we *should* be winning. It’s a mixed bag, it’s @QPR after all 🤷) but there’s a case to be made that we don’t win the games we should #QPRWYC

So yeah. @QPR should win tonight, but this probably won’t be as straightforward as it should be! 😅 #QPR #QPRWYC

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