If your theory of the case is that we are headed for hyper-inflation, the collapse of political authority, etc. ... it's bizarre to imagine that there's an INVESTMENT STRATEGY that will protect you. Investment strategies presuppose civil authority able to uphold property rights.
A little while ago, I moderated a panel of money managers. I asked the most pessimistic, "Are you one of those gold, guns, and canned goods guys?"
He answered, "In a real collapse, the only assets that matter are the guns. They'll take the gold and canned goods."
While inflation conditioned those who came of age in the 1970s, US monetary history has been much more deeply - and more painfully - shaped by DEFLATIONS, especially 1873-1896, 1919-23, 1930-1940, and 2008 onward.
Don't want to be hit by the bus?
Watch the oncoming traffic.
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Assertive presidential leadership can polarize something that otherwise would be broadly unifying. IE the reason we had a "Marshall Plan" (named after then SecState) rather than a "Truman Plan" was that President Truman's name excited strong partisan feelings 2/x
We saw this in the Obama and Trump years over and over again. People might not have an opinion over this program or that issue. They had STRONG feelings about Obama/Trump. Attach the high-intensity name, and the merits of the program/issue got lost. 3/x
Woodrow Wilson used the phrase "America First" as an isolationist slogan in the election of 1916 to imply that his Republican opponent Charles Evans Hughes sympathy for Britain in the First World War was influenced by Hughes' father's English birth.
A pro-Wilson writer, Breckenridge Long, argued that Hughes was ineligible for the presidency - not a "natural born citizen" - because of Hughes' father's British birth. Long's arguments against the Republican Hughes were rediscovered a century later by anti-Obama birthers.
For a year, Trump types on Fox etc. have argued: "Public health authorities urge masks and vaccination is so they can tyrannize human beings forever. They will never allow a return to normal life. Instead, ignore them and instead rely on fake cures and magical thinking." 1/x
As red-state governors yielded to demands from Republican-leaning industries to disregard health and safety, they relied on the "Dr Fauci wants shut downs forever" complaint for justification. 2/x
As the Biden vaccination program gains the upper hand over the virus in 2021, we'll see a real-world test: Did public health authorities issue their mask guidance out of a mysterious sudden eagerness to close the US economy for no good reason? Or ... 3/x
Much of @HawleyMO CPAC speech self-advertised his suffering for the pro-Trump cause. Big mistake. For the pro-Trump movement, victimhood is not an end in itself. For them, their victimhood is a justification for abusing others. They don't want martyrs. They want righteous bullies
@HawleyMO Trumpism is not a system of ideas. It's simple bully worship, the kind you saw in schoolyards. Nobody in pro-Trump world cares about any of @HawleyMO half-cooked policy ideas. They only care about Big Tech to the extent that Big Tech is getting in the way of their bullying fun.
@HawleyMO And just as a schoolyard bully will one day target this kid, and the next day target that one - and the third day target the most sycophantic suck-up in his entourage ... so Trump can and will take almost any position on almost any issue, and the pro-Trump movement will follow.
In an early episode of "Mad Men," the young striver Peggy Olson faces a traumatic experience. The principal character, a man whose life is built upon falsehood and evasion, offers his life advice: "It never happened. It will amaze you how much it never happened." 1/x
With the Tanden nomination, we are watching congressional Republicans put Don Draper's advice into effect.
They supported a profoundly corrupt, cruel, vituperative, and generally immoral and unethical president at the head of an inept and unethical administration. They knew it!
But of course those senators never said so. They were scared and they were shamed. Maybe they stopped some bad things - or at least they tell themselves they did. But the experience had to have been profoundly humiliating for almost all of them. And these are not humble people.