Two things can be true:
-The voting restrictions under consideration are very bad and anti-democratic. They should be defeated.
-The scope of effects they will create is unknown. The voter ID literature, for instance, finds small negative effects, not permanent minority rule.
The first point DOES NOT DEPEND on the second. Anti-democratic laws are bad full stop even if the harms they inflict are not unbounded.

Structural disadvantages for urban voters, Democrats, etc. can be anti-democratic too. The question is not binary.
More on the cumulative point from @ProfCAnderson. And note discussion above is about laws under consideration, not redistricting

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More from @BrendanNyhan

12 Mar
This. Need a path to make this a win for Rs so they will help tout the vaccines and encourage people to get vaccines
Read 5 tweets
19 Feb
One especially noteworthy set of findings from our new @BrightLineWatch survey are from the survey of local policymakers conducted by our partners @AskCivicPulse, which was paired with identical questions in our public survey. brightlinewatch.org/american-democ…
Our @BrightLineWatch/@AskCivicPulse survey found that GOP election distrust extends far deeper than just the public. Though Republican policymakers trust results more than Rs overall, they are still distrustful of results, especially at the national level.
brightlinewatch.org/american-democ…
Read 4 tweets
18 Feb
Post-Trump news vacuum + Cruz being so personally unlikable could make this an incredible pile-on
p(Cruz says he went to Cancun to own the libs) and p(Cruz allies saying he's being cancelled) are disturbingly high. what a time to be alive.
Read 5 tweets
16 Feb
A huge amount of Twitter discourse is just cycles between accuracy and rhetorical goals:

A: [true statement]
B: That is not helpful

and

A: [message intended to be helpful]
B: That is not true
Read 5 tweets
12 Feb
New @ADL report w/new behavioral data: Exposure to Alternative & Extremist Content on YouTube adl.org/resources/repo…

-9% watched video(s) from extremist channel
-Viewership very concentrated
-95% of views from people high in racial resentment
-Still being recommended to users
Findings raise serious concerns. However, not clearly consistent with simple narratives re: algorithmic radicalization:
-Most viewers already high in racial resentment
-Most recs to alt/extremist channels shown on similar videos

More consistent with demand finding supply (alas)
Caveats:
-Sample not nationally representative
-We used codings of alternative and extremist channels from academic and subject matter experts
-YouTube has changed a lot; findings surely would have differed in the past
Read 5 tweets

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