NEW: My overview about the ODNI report and how it doesn’t have to name (American) names—we know who you are: thedailybeast.com/us-intel-expos…
And this KGB manual helps explain so much of what’s in the ODNI: newlinesmag.com/reportage/you-…
Yes, “dupes.” The ODNI not doesn’t suggest the Americans were witting Russian agents and there’s an entire category devoted to those who are manipulated by Russian spies without those spies ever acknowledging who they work for. See the above piece.
“Confidential contacts” can even suspect they’re dealing with Russian intelligence officers but never know for sure and they still qualify as such, as opposed to witting agents in the field. It’s a sub-spy asset. The ODNI says pro-Kremlin narratives were “launder[ed]”...
...through various Americans. Recruiting Americans outright is a far riskier endeavor and requires months or years of effort. Manipulating and influencing is easier. Giuliani was a desperate nut and a conspiracy theorist with a client who was even more so. An easy mark.
Look up Harry Hopkins, if you want to see how this game is played. These categories do matter, too, because they have legal ramifications — ramifications Moscow understands all too well.
One of the ironies of the past five years is seeing those who think they’re giving Russia a lot of credit actually giving it far too little credit. Don’t take my word for it. Read the KGB manuals (still in use today) I’ve spent three years having translated and published.
While you’re at it, look up Auden’s “Spain 1937,” one of the best political poems of the 20th century. “To you, I’m the yes-man, the bar-companion, the easily-duped.” That phrase explains so much more than the Boris-and-Natasha expectations inculcated in the popular imagination.

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More from @michaeldweiss

16 Mar
Yes, and their methods slightly more elaborate than creating bogus Twitter personalities or buying Facebook ads. The reliance on *American* agents of influence and confidential contacts was arguably greater in 2020 than in 2016.
One need only look at how Prigozhin, for instance, evolved from remote online influence and mercenary activities to creating consultancy-style organizations and NGOs from Libya to Germany. There was zero chance this wouldn't affect the strategy toward the US, too.
They hooked the former mayor of New York City and the president's personal attorney -- a much bigger fish than all the minnows reeled in five years ago (Papadopoulos, Prince, Page, et al).
Read 6 tweets
16 Mar
A few key points made in the ODNI.

1. "People linked to Russian intelligence," although unnamed here, laundered influence narratives by getting them covered in U.S. outlets and regurgitated by "prominent US individuals," including Trump affiliates.
2. The election infrastructure targeting was on a much smaller scale than in 2016 and appears to have been intent on data-harvesting, not rigging results (a hard thing to do).
3. This is awkwardly worded because it can be read that Kilimnik is "connected" to the FSB; he's almost certainly GRU given his background.
Read 8 tweets
15 Mar
Short thread. Watching EMPIRE STRIKES BACK now. Palpatine tells Vader Luke is his kid and Vader immediately goes into Sith counterintelligence mode: “If he could be turned...” Not even a 4th-degree-burnt eyelid’s flutter to reflect, “Oh wait, I have a son!”
The wife he thought he killed right away in a fit of jealousy—the wife whose life he turned to the Dark Side to save—bore him an heir he never knew about and he doesn’t even hesitate to think how it might benefit his boss. And then...
When he “reads” Luke’s feelings in JEDI, during the throne room battle scene, and realizes he also has a daughter, Vader again doesn’t flinch or hesitate. He sticks to his duty and keeps fighting. To try to flip or kill his estranged son.
Read 8 tweets
8 Mar
"And so we leaked it to the New York Times": nytimes.com/2021/03/07/us/…
Re: this White House walk-back, I see one of two things here, neither of them particularly good for the NYT:
1. The term "cyberstrike" could be interpreted as "cyberattack," which wouldn't be reciprocal given that SolarWinds was an espionage operation (so far as we know!). It didn't shut down computer systems the way NotPetya did. So the WH wants to clarify it's not "striking."
Read 10 tweets
4 Mar
This title is still in print and the buying frenzy of all Dr. Seuss books only benefits the company that decided to discontinue (or “cancel”) the more controversial ones. One side in this kulturkampf is enriching the other side it accuses of being totalitarian.
I’m old enough (just barely) to remember the first iteration of this madness; perhaps it’s my generational bias, but I found the reaction to “PC” in the 90s more entertaining and edifying. Hughes. O’Rourke. Amis. Hitchens. This era is dumber than a box of dirt.
Two of my favorite essays are about the same thing: the attempt to reassess or abnegate Philip Larkin as a poet because of what was revealed about his scabrous, racist and misogynistic tendencies when Motion’s biography and Larkin’s letters came out.
Read 10 tweets
15 Feb
"The intrusion campaign started in late 2017 and lasted until 2020, ANSSI said." In other words, from Macron's celebrated denunciation of Putin's election interference campaign in France and straight on through to Macron's failed reset with Moscow.
Also note Sandworm isn’t quite the SVR’s more traditional espionage-only hacker group, responsible for the SolarWinds intrusion. These guys did the Macron hack-and-leak operation and built the NotPetya malware, which did exactly what @JohnHultquist said it would do.
Read 5 tweets

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