A thread for bookie odds for GW29 in #FPL
Clean Sheet Probabilities for #BGW29
Brighton 54%
Fulham 33%
Spurs 32%
Arsenal 30%
West Ham 29%
Leeds 28%
Aston Villa 26%
Newcastle 21%
Only Brighton are expected to keep a clean sheet in Gameweek 29.
Clean Sheet Probabilities for #BGW29
Brighton 54%
Fulham 33%
Spurs 32%
Arsenal 30%
West Ham 29%
Leeds 28%
Aston Villa 26%
Newcastle 21%
Only Brighton are expected to keep a clean sheet in Gameweek 29.
Of the games, all of them are expected to have both teams to score according to the bookies apart from Brighton v Newcastle
The probability of both teams scoring is below.
Fulham v Leeds 53%
Brighton v Newcastle 44%
West Ham v Arsenal 56%
Aston Villa v Tottenham 58%
The probability of both teams scoring is below.
Fulham v Leeds 53%
Brighton v Newcastle 44%
West Ham v Arsenal 56%
Aston Villa v Tottenham 58%
That being said, only half of the games are expected to have 3 or more goals in them. With Spurs and Arsenal's games both expecting more goals than the other two games.
Fulham v Leeds 48%
Brighton v Newcastle 43%
West Ham v Arsenal 51%
Aston Villa v Tottenham 53%
Fulham v Leeds 48%
Brighton v Newcastle 43%
West Ham v Arsenal 51%
Aston Villa v Tottenham 53%
The best probability to score this week is Harry Kane, and that is by a comfortable distance. In second place is Maupay from Brighton
Kane 48%
Maupay 42%
Auba 40%
Lacazette 39%
Bamford 36%
Antonio 35%
Bale 33%
Maja 33%
Watkins 33%
Welbeck 32%
Lookman 29%
Pepe 29%
Trossard 27%
Kane 48%
Maupay 42%
Auba 40%
Lacazette 39%
Bamford 36%
Antonio 35%
Bale 33%
Maja 33%
Watkins 33%
Welbeck 32%
Lookman 29%
Pepe 29%
Trossard 27%
Based on this. I believe if you're making a selection this week for captaincy it goes down to this.
Do you think Kane is more likely to score than Newcastle are? What might be worth considering also is the bonus points given.
Do you think Kane is more likely to score than Newcastle are? What might be worth considering also is the bonus points given.
Dunk is Brighton's best bonus points scorer with 460.
Kane is Spurs' best bonus point scorer with 664.
Brighton have kept 7 clean sheets this season.
In 4/7 of those clean sheets Dunk has gotten bonus points.
Kane is Spurs' best bonus point scorer with 664.
Brighton have kept 7 clean sheets this season.
In 4/7 of those clean sheets Dunk has gotten bonus points.
The captaincy falls on two people.
1. Harry Kane
2. Lewis Dunk
Both of these are this week's best captaincy selections according to the bookies. Both have upsides as Dunk can score, and Kane can score more than once.
1. Harry Kane
2. Lewis Dunk
Both of these are this week's best captaincy selections according to the bookies. Both have upsides as Dunk can score, and Kane can score more than once.
If you're looking for a differential I would suggest Leandro Trossard or Neal Maupay. But I'm not going to suggest either of them over Harry Kane or Lewis Dunk.
Feedback/Discussion appreciated
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#FPLCommunity
@FPLALLEGIANCE @420Fpl @FPL_Mihir @FPL_SLEDGE @fpl_saffer @UnitedFPL2 @SHARRlS @GoonerFPL @FplAdama @FPL_Dabby @theFPLdabbler @FPLCorrigan @ChappyFpl @Techie_FPL @CricketFpl @FPLKSI @FplPup @ClaretFPL @fpl_swan @BenchBoostFPL
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