In the past few weeks, I've given several talks on #advancednuclear with folks who are not very familiar with the technology. It's been great to hear questions from new audiences who are open to nuclear, but also have valid concerns. These resources address those concerns...
For folks who aren't energy wonks, a common question regards proliferation and security concerns around new reactors, especially when exporting tech. This @PGSnuclear report evaluates advanced reactor concepts on security & safeguards metrics: globalnexusinitiative.org/wp-content/upl…
There's also a common perception that nuclear is on the decline, or that there is no future market for it. But check out this great project from @ThirdWayEnergy@energyforgrowth mapping the market for advanced nuclear. Lots of countries want nuclear energy thirdway.org/memo/mapping-t…
Both of these issues address the reality that the US is not alone in the global nuclear tech market. So we need to think more about the role of innovation when discussing the geopolitics of nuclear. See this from @theNIAorgnuclearinnovationalliance.org/updating-outda…
And last but not least: nuclear waste. The US has really struggled to make progress on a permanent solution for waste, but it's not a technology problem, it's about developing a fair process for siting. @TheBTI has a great report that dives into this: thebreakthrough.org/articles/beyon…
In energy and climate discussion there's been a lot more focus recently on Environmental Justice, which is great and long overdue. We all know fossil plants tend to be located in marginalized communities, and I've had many people ask me lately if the same is true for nuclear...
The answer: No for power plants, yes for fuel cycle. And it's complicated. This paper has great demographic analysis of areas around nuclear power plants: link.springer.com/article/10.100…
I made some graphics from their results....
If you just look at the population living within 50 miles of a nuclear power plant in the US, it looks like fossil fuels: the population has more people of color, more renters, and slightly higher unemployment than the population living farther away.
& similar questions to Adler et al. (2020), Jarvis et al. (2019) looked at the emissions and cost implications of Germany's nuclear phase-out, using a novel machine-learning framework to test existing narratives nber.org/papers/w26598.…
Their method: "predicts which power plants increased their output in response to the nuclear plant closures... to empirically assess how a change in electricity production or consumption at one location propagates throughout the electricity trans- mission network."
Result: They find the social cost of the phase-out to producers and consumers to be $12 billion per year! Most of the costs fall to consumers, and most is in increased mortality risk from air pollution exposure.
1/ I know there are serious problems in the world, but bad data journalism can make them worse. I didn’t want to wade into #BernieBro discourse, but I can’t let bad analysis slide.
Specifically, this article: salon.com/2020/03/09/the…
Thread:
2/ I was surprised how many people I respect shared this article, considering the results of the analysis DO NOT support the headline. Perhaps people did not read the article too carefully, but I also worry when people share an article just for the headline. Read for yourself...
3/ The actual analysis in the article was done by Harvard grad student @CompSocialSci, & it's fine analysis. Here’s what they did: Evaluated the sentiment (positive to negative) of all tweets since 2015 of a random selection of followers of each of top 9 dem primary candidates.
to;dr (yeah, it’s 273 pages)
Main opportunity: decarbonization of power sector
Main challenge: cost of new designs
Main insight: there are many pathways to reduce costs
Main rec: gov support through smart policies can accel. innovation of adv. nuclear energy.mit.edu/research/futur…
The study modeled future electricity mix and prices in six regions under varying carbon constraints. The results were clear, you don’t *need* nuclear if you keep emissions where they are, but forgoing nuclear with deep decarbonization has high costs
I’m sharing more great insights from this report today, MIT’s Future of Nuclear in a Carbon Constrained World. For the economist in you, here is the Opportunity Cost of forgoing nuclear.