Here's flu season spikes, including 20/21 MIRACULOUSLY absent; with weekly excess deaths since '16

Maybe if people SEE seasonality get to understand it
Maybe if they SEE CV occupying the flu yearly niche they get it's not a black swan

Sorry: it IS seasonal, it IS like the flu
Of course respiratory virus aren't the only issue affecting excess death, so heat waves and other episodes light some bulbs once in a while.
But you can notice the seasonal virus, INCLUDING COVID, epidemic& basal phases take their turn.

We can't pretend anymore this is different
One important issue, concerning CV intensity anomalies, is that Covid is NOT the only new thing in pla RESTRICTIONS are definitely new, never seen before.

THEY COST LIFES

Even though, '20 summer basal phase is clear, and '21 is settled enough to foresee will be exactly the same
Brutality of health care systems poor to null attention to anything but CV, inconcebible stress levels to whole population, severe poverty, mistreatment of respiratory deseases attempting to do 'anything' against the NEW virus, people refusing health care for fear...

THAT'S NEW
Hope this flu-like seasonality EVIDENCE, u can understand with ur EYES, bring some light.

If CV isn't THAT special but death is higher, we HAVE to look at the OTHER different thing we're doing:

RESTRICTIONS

I fear many will still prefer The Experts.

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More from @plaforscience

19 Mar
Spain made ~25K test every year for flu surveillance. Less than 100/day.

In 2020 we made more than 30 MILLION in Covid search. One THOUSAND MORE times.

That's an average of 3.5x times EVERY DAY, than a FULL FLU YEAR.

90K/day for Covid Vs 25K/year

And we CARED enough for flu ImageImage
In 2021 we're around ~1 million/week, for some 12 million as today.

Even that expensive and disproportionate effort, tracing has been COMPLETELY USELESS in avoiding winter wave.
In fact, it has been useless for any aspect on Epidemic notice or control, it's only useful for FEAR.
Item+

If we almost stop those 25K flu tests, and we do millions of flawed, high CT PCR for Covid, it's almost sure you're gonna mistake (or fake) Covid for flu epidemic.

That, or you believe that, after hundred thousand years with us, MIRACULOUSLY be eradicated flu.
Read 4 tweets
18 Mar
CETERUM AUTEM CENSEO CARTHAGINEM ESSE DELENDAM

For years, Cato the Censor finished every speech at Senate, no matter theme was AQUA APIA leaking or the miscarriage of a vestal, with this phrase: Furthermore, I consider that Carthage must be destroyed.

ONLY VACCINES WILL SAVE US
Now, every new aired, no matter it refers to Irresponsible behaviours, alleged CV sequels, decrease in numbers, vax possible answers effects, curfew, poverty and unemployment or even Real Madrid CF; it ALWAYS ends with same motto:

ONLY VACCINES WILL SAVE US
If it really THAT important that population gets this message? Is there anyone in the while fcucking world not aware we're jabbing everyone?

Why this insistence?
Can Goebbels tell?
Are they repeating a lie a thousand times, so it becomes truth?

ONLY VACCINES WILL SAVE US
Read 4 tweets
17 Mar
Let's do some maths on masks claimed efficiency

We all have seen those mask Vs no mask crazy graphs. Some categorised risk (extreme...), others have guts enough to give percentages

In all of them, no mask/no mask contact means SURE infection.
Even both masked remains 1.5% risk ImageImageImage
Infected unmasked Vs masked is valued at 70% risky.
So 7 out of every 10 close interactions end in INFECTION.

We're checking this numbers for pre restrictions era, nobody masked. Not wanting to abuse with a 95%, we're using that 70% chance for all unmasked interactions.
Now, let's understand some on 'interactions'. For contact tracing there's the standard ( I love all those minute/feet/exact number vivid paraphernalia: so sassy!) of 15 min contact.

Let's guess a minimum of 5 of those interactions with a day, with different people. Image
Read 12 tweets
1 Mar
Variants are the main pusher for fear of a imminent New Wave.

Observation of known mutations not only debunk the childish Variant Version, with few but famous new strains; but is ANOTHER strong proof of seasonality.

This is a timed map of mutations, let's observe it well.
Apart from the obvious fact of huge number of mutations, we can see two clear significant frames.
An initial phase, with quick detection of lots of separated branches, thus lots of mutations.
A frame with intense mutation density, with a MARKED line beginning from~early November.
Both directly correspond to winter.
Initial phase, with few genomic sequencing, detects the broad tree being created by frequent mutations, and the clear yellow dot purée of its develope.

Of course mutations are proportional to transmission. More infections, more copy mistakes.
Read 6 tweets
27 Feb
Covid won't be of major interest from epidemiology's history, far away from black plague, spanish flu or even AIDS; it will definitely be a milestone in sociology.

For its understanding, MORAL PANIC must be considered.

It was defined by Cohen in 1972

infodocks.files.wordpress.com/2015/01/stanle…
It is the CREATION of an irrational panic by media overfocusing on an issue supposedly threatening society well being, in which a group is blamed for.

Wikipedia is a unusually good starting point, with general definitions and good references to dig.

en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Moral_pan…
If we check its characteristics of strictly fits the Covid madness.

We, Evil Negationists, can tell. Signalling has been a constant of the crisis, and kids, sportsmen, smokers, critic scientists, to tinfoilhat deniers and anyone not 100% CVBeliever has been packed as Negationist Image
Read 9 tweets
30 Dec 20
I'm surprised about the persistence of two covid myths:

We know very little on CV.
There's a scientifical consensus.

Well, 84K papers in the issue deny both of them.

We know A HUGE DAMN LOT, about this virus; and there are MANY interpretations on it.

biorxiv.org/content/10.110…
There's NOT such a thing as a consensus ,but a very complex net of fractional insights. We only see aired the few undisputable supporting the fear narrative, even its quality is null, as Imperial College stuff.

They always come at appropriate political moment, and are models.
In the other hand there's a cloud of side studies, never as spectacular as the previous, but strongly scientifical; usually analysis rather than modelling; that points consistently AGAINST the exceptionality of this virus and the horrible mistake and disproportion of restrictions
Read 4 tweets

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