Bats, Panthers, and the Utterly Plausible Lab-Leak Hypothesis undark.org/2021/03/18/utt… via @undarkmag
"Let’s say, for instance that a Florida panther rampaged through the South Bronx, injuring many people. It would be immediately reasonable to wonder: How could that possibly happen? Florida panthers don’t live anywhere near the Bronx and aren’t normally so ferocious."
"WIV is around 10 miles from the site of the initial outbreak in Wuhan, whereas the natural coronavirus variants that most closely resemble SARS-CoV-2 come from a region in South West China more than 900 miles away."
"WIV runs the world’s leading effort geared toward collecting wild coronaviruses from that region, and they..tinkered with the wild viruses to develop potent new strains."
"Two years before the onset of the pandemic, US diplomatic scientists visited WIV and sent back strongly worded reports to the State Department warning of inadequate safety conditions."
"And when a delegation from the World Health Organization visited the institute earlier this year, Wuhan officials limited the team’s makeup and restricted their access."

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More from @R_H_Ebright

18 Mar
House Energy & Commerce Committee Minority Leaders Call for NIH Assistance on a Complete Investigation into COVID-19 Origins in China 
republicans-energycommerce.house.gov/news/covid-ori… via @HouseCommerce
Full text of letter to NIH Director Collins:

republicans-energycommerce.house.gov/wp-content/upl…
"Please provide all information..NIH has about laboratory accidents and/or biosafety practices at..WIV"

"Please provide all information..NIH has..about communications and events at..WIV from August 2019 to..present"
Read 11 tweets
17 Mar
"David Relman, a microbiologist at Stanford University, says a lab leak was never the subject of a 'fair and dispassionate discussion of the facts as we know them.'"

Lab Leak: A Scientific Debate Mired in Politics — and Unresolved
undark.org/2021/03/17/lab…
"Relman agrees that in the absence of conclusive evidence, the message on origins should be 'we don’t know.'..[H]e found himself increasingly disheartened by those who..had seized on a spillover scenario, despite 'an amazing absence of data.'"
"[L]ab-release dangers are growing as well. The risk increases in proportion with the number of labs handling bioweapons and potential pandemic pathogens (more than 1,500 globally in 2010)..many of them, like the Wuhan lab, located in urban areas close to international airports."
Read 5 tweets
17 Mar
Taiwan: 0.4 per million (10 deaths)
China: 3 per million (4,636 deaths)
Singapore: 5 per million (30 deaths)
Hong Kong: 27 per million (203 deaths)
South Korea: 33 per million (1,678 deaths)
Japan: 60 per million (7,584 deaths)

US: 1,700 per million (549,145 deaths; +2K daily)
New Zealand: 5 per million (26 deaths)
Australia: 35 per million (909 deaths)
..
UK: 1,800 per million (125,690 deaths)
Nations that successfully suppressed outbreak include both small and large, both island and non-island, and both autocratic and democratic.

Sole relevant parameter for success or failure is whether government took prompt resolute action (success) or whether it did not (failure).
Read 5 tweets
16 Mar
How the West Lost COVID

How did so many rich, but sociopath-led, countries get it so wrong? How did others get it so right?
nymag.com/intelligencer/…
"[T]he UK was consumed with Brexit..The US had Trump..As the pandemic progressed, both [sociopath-led] countries flipped from denial to capitulation, choosing to treat almost any caseload plateau as an opportunity to relax, no matter how high..ongoing spread it represented."
"For decades, the richest nations of the world had told themselves a [lie] in which wealth and medical superiority offered, if not total immunity from disease, then certainly a guarantee against pandemics, regarded as a premodern residue of the underdeveloped world."
Read 10 tweets
11 Mar
"When it comes to studying, tampering with or producing new viruses, the international system is the Wild West."

"It’s high time we put a sheriff in charge."

washingtonpost.com/opinions/2021/…
"Given what we’ve been through over the past year, you’d imagine that governments are already working to tighten up international regulation of pathogens..But it turns out the real story isn’t comforting at all."
"There’s no formal international body of rules governing research on potentially dangerous biological agents..There’s no international organization monitoring virology research..[T]here’s not even a code of rules.., only..non-binding guidance"
Read 4 tweets
22 Feb
@peiferlabunc @RepThomasMassie Fauci understated the threat at every stage in the pandemic prior to the eve of presidential election.

He did so contrary to the facts that were available at the time and that, almost certainly, were known to him and understood by him at the time.
@peiferlabunc @RepThomasMassie On January 21, 2020--as the crisis in Wuhan unfolded on news media worldwide--Fauci claimed "this is not a major threat,”
@peiferlabunc @RepThomasMassie On 01/26/20--three days after China locked down 11 million persons on Wuhan and two days day began constructing China began building 1000-bed emergency hospital in Wuhabs--Fauci claimed "The American people should not be worried...It’s a very, very low risk to the United States."
Read 11 tweets

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